2020年美国选举：众议院选举，民主党获得222席，共和党获210席，佩洛西再次当选众议院议长；参议院选举，形成民主党50：50共和党局面；国会正式认证，拜登以选举人团306票当选总统

  • 主题发起人 主题发起人 ccc
  • 开始时间 开始时间
 
9月1日，总统只差2点。似乎Fownews网页上还未更新，总统可能是有内部信息来源。
1598997855933.png



Poll shows Trump's approval rating approaching majority
1598997954879.png


www.foxnews.com

Fox News Poll: Voters pick Biden, yet more think their neighbors back Trump

Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is up 49-42 percent over President Donald Trump in a head-to-head matchup, according to a national Fox News survey of registered voters. Nine percent are undecided or back a third-party candidate.
www.foxnews.com www.foxnews.com
 
1599016769871.png
 
73 former Republican national security officials endorse Joe Biden

By Lauren Meier - The Washington Times - Thursday, August 20, 2020

www.washingtontimes.com

73 former Republican national security officials endorse Joe Biden

A group of more than 70 former national security officials spanning the last four Republican administrations endorsed presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joseph R. Biden, arguing that President Trump is “dangerously unfit” to serve another term.
www.washingtontimes.com www.washingtontimes.com
 
1599079034575.png



Alabama 9
Alaska 3
Arizona 11
Arkansas 6
California 55
Colorado 9
Connecticut 7
Delaware 3
District of Columbia 3
Florida 29
Georgia 16
Hawaii 4
Idaho 4
Illinois 20
Indiana 11
Iowa 6
Kansas 6
Kentucky 8
Louisiana 8
Maine 4
Massachusetts 11
Michigan 16
Minnesota 10
Mississippi 6
Missouri 10
Montana 3
Nebraska 5
Nevada 6
New Hampshire 4
New Jersey 14
New Mexico 5
New York 29
North Carolina 15
North Dakota 3
Ohio 18
Oklahoma 7
Oregon 7
Pennsylvania 20
Rhode Island 4
South Carolina 9
South Dakota 3
Tennessee 11
Texas 38
Utah 6
Vermont 3
Virginia 13
Washington 12
West Virginia 5
Wisconsin 10
Wyoming 3
 
最后编辑:
Which states are the closest?

This list of close races is not a good one for Trump, because it includes big states like Texas, North Carolina and Georgia — all states that the Democrats don’t need to win in order to take the White House and ones that Trump won in the 2016 election, some by significant margins.

1599079258514.png

1599079310199.png
 
考虑到误差和趋势，实际投票时，川普的票可能比现在高出 5－7 点。
如果这个民调准确，而且现在的趋势持续，川普将大胜。不过媒体民调的准头是很差的。


lindamy 说:
9月1日，总统只差2点。似乎Fownews网页上还未更新，总统可能是有内部信息来源。
Poll shows Trump's approval rating approaching majority
点击展开...
 
最后编辑:
RareEarth 说:
实际投票时，川普的票可能高出 5－7 点。
如果这个民调准确，而且现在的趋势持续，川普将大胜
点击展开...
床铺之前的经济搞得不错，本来连任无悬念。谁知跳出个新冠，砸了床铺的锅，如果此时碰上的是洗那里估计也就完了，可谁想撞上的是白等。擦！这把又咸鱼翻身了！估计老床乐得连后门都合不上了！:evil:
 
Historical Poll’s Margins of Error:
  • Harry Truman beat the final Gallup poll by 4.6 points in the 1948 election.
  • Ronald Reagan beat his polls by 3.6 points in the 1980 election.
  • Donald Trump beat his polls by 2.2 points in the 2016 election.
  • Barack Obama beat his polls by 2.0 points in the 2012 election.
 
村长，每个州的票数是如何划分的？
ccc 说:
浏览附件924416


Alabama 9
Alaska 3
Arizona 11
Arkansas 6
California 55
Colorado 9
Connecticut 7
Delaware 3
District of Columbia 3
Florida 29
Georgia 16
Hawaii 4
Idaho 4
Illinois 20
Indiana 11
Iowa 6
Kansas 6
Kentucky 8
Louisiana 8
Maine 4
Massachusetts 11
Michigan 16
Minnesota 10
Mississippi 6
Missouri 10
Montana 3
Nebraska 5
Nevada 6
New Hampshire 4
New Jersey 14
New Mexico 5
New York 29
North Carolina 15
North Dakota 3
Ohio 18
Oklahoma 7
Oregon 7
Pennsylvania 20
Rhode Island 4
South Carolina 9
South Dakota 3
Tennessee 11
Texas 38
Utah 6
Vermont 3
Virginia 13
Washington 12
West Virginia 5
Wisconsin 10
Wyoming 3
点击展开...
 
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