美国选举结果预测,讨论稿。49.4%认为川普胜,41.8%认为拜登胜,

美国大选结果预测


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lindamy

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有要更改的吗?
 

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民主选举,几年换次尿布。任何人也没有权利质问他人的投票倾向。

村长居然认为“民主选举”是“换尿布”?是我看错了,还是理解错了?:shale:
 

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lindamy

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Fox News Poll: Majority trusts Biden on COVID, half say virus is out of control

Just over half say coronavirus is 'not at all' under control
By Dana Blanton | Fox News

Trump vs Biden's plan for your taxes

Former Trump 2016 campaign advisor, Steve Moore and former Obama economic council chairman, Austan Goolsbee contrasts the two tax plans on 'Bill Hemmer Reports.'

Less than a week before Election Day, the electorate’s outlook is gloomy. More than 6-in-10 rate economic conditions negatively and only about 2-in-10 think coronavirus is under control in the U.S., according to the latest Fox News national survey of likely voters.

1.png


In fact, just over half, 51 percent, say it is “not at all” under control -- up from 40 percent in early September.

2.png


When asked what should be the federal government’s top priority, voters are 25 points more likely to rank limiting the spread of coronavirus over restarting the economy (61-36 percent).

Who do voters trust to handle these competing issues? President Trump is preferred on the economy by just 1 point, while more trust Democratic candidate Joe Biden on coronavirus by 16 points.

EARLY VOTERS CAST RECORD 92M BALLOTS AS ELECTION DAY NEARS

Biden’s current advantage on coronavirus is double the 8-point edge he held last month. At the same time, Trump’s edge on the economy declined by 4 points.

3.png


“The pandemic has complicated the president’s plan to run for re-election on the economy,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News survey with Democrat Chris Anderson. “COVID-19 is the dominant issue for voters and they think Biden would do a better job.”

CLICK HERE TO READ THE POLL RESULTS

By a 6-point margin, more pick Biden over Trump on handling Supreme Court nominations. Biden’s advantage is unchanged since September, before Amy Coney Barrett’s confirmation to the high court.

In the head-to-head matchup, Biden leads Trump by 52-44 percent among likely voters. That’s a bit tighter than the race was three weeks ago, when Biden led by 53-43 percent (October 3-6).

CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP

The survey, released Sunday, asked about several candidate traits and finds over half think Biden cares about people like them (56 percent) and is honest and trustworthy (52 percent). For Trump it’s the reverse, as majorities say he lacks empathy (56 percent) and honesty (60 percent).

Notably, the president’s honesty marks are identical to those he received just before he went on to win the 2016 election. At that time, 37 percent of likely voters said Trump was honest and trustworthy and 60 percent disagreed (November 3-6, 2016). Voters also said Hillary Clinton was dishonest (33 honest vs. 64 dishonest). This time, a 52-percent majority sees the Democratic candidate as honest and trustworthy (45 percent disagree).

Ratings of the two candidates more closely align on “standing up for what he believes.” Sixty-four percent think Biden does -- and even more, 68 percent, say the same about Trump.

When asked if the word “corrupt” describes the candidate, 56 percent say it applies to Trump compared to 40 percent for Biden.

Over half (53 percent) think Trump is “too close to extremist” groups, while 37 percent feel that way about Biden.

DEMS GRASP AT OPORTUNITIES IN RED STATES AS ELECTION DAY LOOMS

One Republican in five thinks Trump is corrupt (19 percent) and that he is too close to extremist groups (20 percent).

Among Democrats, about 1-in-10 thinks Biden is corrupt (12 percent) and feel he is too close to extremist groups (11 percent).

4.png


Pollpourri

While 41 percent of registered voters think the disruption that Trump has brought to Washington is a good thing, an even larger number, 51 percent, don’t like it. Among Trump supporters, 85 percent see his disruption as a positive thing. Ninety-one percent of Biden supporters call it a bad thing.

Nearly half of registered voters, 47 percent, think Trump will win re-election. That’s down from 51 percent in September -- and a high of 56 percent who believed he would win in February.

Almost as many, 46 percent, think he won’t be re-elected.

5.png


Conducted October 27-29, 2020 under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with 1,318 randomly chosen registered voters nationwide who spoke with live interviewers on both landlines and cellphones. The survey includes results among 1,246 likely voters. The poll has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for both registered and likely voters.

Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.

 
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Fox News Poll: Majority trusts Biden on COVID, half say virus is out of control

Just over half say coronavirus is 'not at all' under control
By Dana Blanton | Fox News

Trump vs Biden's plan for your taxes

Former Trump 2016 campaign advisor, Steve Moore and former Obama economic council chairman, Austan Goolsbee contrasts the two tax plans on 'Bill Hemmer Reports.'

Less than a week before Election Day, the electorate’s outlook is gloomy. More than 6-in-10 rate economic conditions negatively and only about 2-in-10 think coronavirus is under control in the U.S., according to the latest Fox News national survey of likely voters.

1.png


In fact, just over half, 51 percent, say it is “not at all” under control -- up from 40 percent in early September.

2.png


When asked what should be the federal government’s top priority, voters are 25 points more likely to rank limiting the spread of coronavirus over restarting the economy (61-36 percent).

Who do voters trust to handle these competing issues? President Trump is preferred on the economy by just 1 point, while more trust Democratic candidate Joe Biden on coronavirus by 16 points.

EARLY VOTERS CAST RECORD 92M BALLOTS AS ELECTION DAY NEARS

Biden’s current advantage on coronavirus is double the 8-point edge he held last month. At the same time, Trump’s edge on the economy declined by 4 points.

3.png


“The pandemic has complicated the president’s plan to run for re-election on the economy,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News survey with Democrat Chris Anderson. “COVID-19 is the dominant issue for voters and they think Biden would do a better job.”

CLICK HERE TO READ THE POLL RESULTS

By a 6-point margin, more pick Biden over Trump on handling Supreme Court nominations. Biden’s advantage is unchanged since September, before Amy Coney Barrett’s confirmation to the high court.

In the head-to-head matchup, Biden leads Trump by 52-44 percent among likely voters. That’s a bit tighter than the race was three weeks ago, when Biden led by 53-43 percent (October 3-6).

CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP

The survey, released Sunday, asked about several candidate traits and finds over half think Biden cares about people like them (56 percent) and is honest and trustworthy (52 percent). For Trump it’s the reverse, as majorities say he lacks empathy (56 percent) and honesty (60 percent).

Notably, the president’s honesty marks are identical to those he received just before he went on to win the 2016 election. At that time, 37 percent of likely voters said Trump was honest and trustworthy and 60 percent disagreed (November 3-6, 2016). Voters also said Hillary Clinton was dishonest (33 honest vs. 64 dishonest). This time, a 52-percent majority sees the Democratic candidate as honest and trustworthy (45 percent disagree).

Ratings of the two candidates more closely align on “standing up for what he believes.” Sixty-four percent think Biden does -- and even more, 68 percent, say the same about Trump.

When asked if the word “corrupt” describes the candidate, 56 percent say it applies to Trump compared to 40 percent for Biden.

Over half (53 percent) think Trump is “too close to extremist” groups, while 37 percent feel that way about Biden.

DEMS GRASP AT OPORTUNITIES IN RED STATES AS ELECTION DAY LOOMS

One Republican in five thinks Trump is corrupt (19 percent) and that he is too close to extremist groups (20 percent).

Among Democrats, about 1-in-10 thinks Biden is corrupt (12 percent) and feel he is too close to extremist groups (11 percent).

4.png


Pollpourri

While 41 percent of registered voters think the disruption that Trump has brought to Washington is a good thing, an even larger number, 51 percent, don’t like it. Among Trump supporters, 85 percent see his disruption as a positive thing. Ninety-one percent of Biden supporters call it a bad thing.

Nearly half of registered voters, 47 percent, think Trump will win re-election. That’s down from 51 percent in September -- and a high of 56 percent who believed he would win in February.

Almost as many, 46 percent, think he won’t be re-elected.

5.png


Conducted October 27-29, 2020 under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with 1,318 randomly chosen registered voters nationwide who spoke with live interviewers on both landlines and cellphones. The survey includes results among 1,246 likely voters. The poll has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for both registered and likely voters.

Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.

美国人不怕死。
 

lindamy

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到现在为止,这个投票的结果是:
川普:拜登 = 39 :33 = 49.4% :41.8%,总统领先 8%。
 

lindamy

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选举结果出来以后,参加投票,尤其是预测准确的,是否应当给与某种奖励?

大家献计。
 

wei_cheng

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希望大选不要拖太久出不了结果,出了结果不要又因为如何计算有效票的诉讼在 State Supreme Court 和 Supreme Court 拖时间。
希望新闻里少一点串普头条,两党在光谱中太极端的都消停一些,我觉得和我一样期盼的人一定不少。

我预测错了的话大不了积累几年资历就从美国跑路。
 
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wei_cheng

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我觉得即便一方胜出,说不定依旧会有关于如何计算有效票的诉讼在 State Supreme Court 和 Supreme Court,直到12月14号前几天要确定选举人团。

这次总统选举最好的结果是特朗普或者拜登以压倒多数胜出。
 
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