美国选举舞弊阴谋论

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美国大选:司法部长下令调查“投票舞弊”引高官辞职抗议 五大选票争议事实究竟如何?​

2020年11月11日
Wisconsin absentee ballot papers

图像来源,GETTY IMAGES
美国司法部长威廉·巴尔(William Barr)下令,允许各地联邦检察官对据称在大选中出现的违规行为进行调查,这一做法招致司法部一名高级官员辞职。
辞职的官员名叫理查德·皮尔格(Richard Pilger),原本应负责监管类似调查。
通常这类案件属于各州自己管辖范围,但巴尔称这类原则并非是硬性规定。
巴尔称,“如果有明显且显然可信的关于违规行为的指控,且如果这些指控属实,可能对一个州的联邦选举结果产生潜在影响”,则各地联邦检察官可以进行调查。
Attorney General William Barr (L)

图像来源,EPA
图像加注文字,
美国司法部长威廉·巴尔(左)
他表示,检察官们应该只对针对违规行为的“重大指控”进行检视。他称,各州对举行选举负有主要责任,但司法部有“义务确保联邦选举是以一种美国人可以对他们的选举过程和政府充满信心的方式进行的”。
美国司法部通常只会在选举结束后结果已经核实的情况下才会进行初步调查,但巴尔称,这会导致“不端行为实际上无法被纠正”的情况出现。
皮尔格称,他的辞职是对巴尔做法做出的回应。“我已经熟悉了新政策及其后果……我必须遗憾地辞去我的职位,”他在对同事发出的邮件中写道。
唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)一直拒绝承认败选,且对此次大选做出了尚无证据的舞弊指控。
与此同时,在社交媒体上,针对此次美国大选投票的一些虚假或误导性贴文一直在传播。其中一些贴文被特朗普及其团队放大。
我们对其中一些主要说法做了事实核查。
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密歇根出现死人投票?​

在推特上,有贴文声称在关键州密歇根(Michigan)有已经去世的人投的选票出现,这些贴文被大量传播,加剧了特朗普主导的未经证实的“选民舞弊”主张。
密歇根当局已经对此予以反击,称这些谣言为“假消息”(misinformation),并指出已经去世人士的选票遭到了拒绝。
这些广泛传播的推文列明了一些在上世纪之初出生且目前已经去世的人,认为他们投出了缺席选票。
Ballot challengers trying to get into a count in Detroit, Michigan

图像来源,GETTY IMAGES
图像加注文字,
有抗议人士试图进入密歇根州底特律的点票现场。
被贴文中列出的其中一名男性似乎与他已经去世的父亲被搞混。根据事实核查网站Politifact报道,这名男子与他的父亲姓名一致,地址相同。密歇根当地官员向该网站表示,这名男士的选票在官方投票系统中被错误地计算到其父亲身份下。
这名男子向Politifact表示,他在得知网络上有许多关于自己传言的情况后已经致电当地有关部门,一名官员告诉他无需担心,因为官员们会在计票时确认签名笔迹与出生日期。
密歇根州州务卿发言人向该网站表示,这种情况之所以会出现是因为二人姓名相近,但在这种案例中,并没有出现不符资格的选民投票的情况,且对选举结果没有影响,当地官员可以他们注意到这种情况后作出更正。
除此以外,还有其他孤立的几起案例声称有“死人”投票,其中大多数同样是因为家人拥有相同姓名,或是小的技术故障,比如有的选民如果无法找到他们在网上登记选民资格时输入的生日记录,他们会被指示输入一个随意日期作为生日。
这些谣言被许多有影响力的账号转发传播,比如与特朗普名字相同的特朗普之子小特朗普,以及英国脱欧党(Brexit Party)领袖法拉奇(Nigel Farage)。
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密歇根州点票软件故障?​

网上有许多贴文声称,在密歇根有一个点票软件故障导致成千上万张投给特朗普的选票被计算到了拜登名下。
这些指控甚至来到了特朗普的推文中。共和党人参议员泰德·克鲁兹(Ted Cruz)声称,在密歇根全州使用的软件出现了一个问题,这则推文被特朗普转发。
在密歇根各县的计票中,有一个县出现了问题,当地最初报告的拜登得票数有误,密歇根州务卿本森(Jocelyn Benson)表示,该问题“已经被迅速识别并纠正”。
她还表示,最初的错误是一个人为错误,而非软件错误。
目前正在大范围传播的一些贴文声称,在密歇根的其他47个使用相同软件的县中,可能会有同样的问题出现。
本森对此回应称:“没有证据显示在本州其他地方有这一用户错误发生。”
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亚利桑那州“签字笔”导致废票?​

另一个被广泛传播的谣言发生在摇摆州亚利桑那州(Arizona)点票期间。
有推文声称,有一项计谋想要通过向选民分发签字笔,让他们用签字笔填选选票,以此来让亲共和党地区的选票作废。
Pennsylvania election worker with ballots

图像来源,GETTY IMAGES
在一个广泛传播的视频中,有一名女性讲述了她认为投票机器是如何无法读写用这类笔填选的选票的。
这段视频的拍摄者还表示,很多选票没有被计算在内,许多人被迫使用签字笔,因为有人想要让总票数出现偏差。
这在社交媒体上引起极大轰动,许多人凭此声称存在选票舞弊现象,还称有特朗普支持者投出的大量选票被作废。
CNN报道称,有一群示威者聚集在亚利桑那州马里科帕县(Maricopa County),他们“高声喊着社交媒体上的签字笔假消息”。
但这些指控都是假的。
马里科帕县官员表示,签字笔并不会让选票作废。
亚利桑那州州务卿霍布斯(Katie Hobbs)在推特上确认,如果你亲自投票,“你的选票会被计算在内,无论你是用的是什么类型的笔(甚至包括签字笔)!”
霍布斯之后向CNN表示,“即便由于一些原因机器无法读出这些选票,比如一处标记渗透到了另一面,我们也有办法清点它们。它们会被计算在内。那些说这是一种让共和党人选票作废的阴谋的说法毫无价值。”
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错误的密歇根投票地图?​

一份大选之夜的密歇根选票地图显示,拜登在突然之间增加了约13万张选票,但特朗普的得票没有任何变化,这份地图在社交媒体上也得到了广泛传播。
特朗普自己在推特上也发表了这张图片,加大了对选民舞弊的猜测。
各州当局在计票时一次性加入一大批选票是一种惯常做法。
但社交媒体上许多人在质疑,为何在那次数据更新中,特朗普没有得到任何选票。
解释很简单,因为那是一个数据录入错误,之后已经被纠正。
制作了这张地图的选举信息分析网站Decision Desk表示:“这是我们读取的该州创建的一个文档里发生的一个单纯错误……该州注意到了这个错误,并得出了更新后的计票结果”。
这名发言人还表示:“这种事情会发生在选举之夜,我们预计其他密西根的选票指标者也遇到了这个错误,并像我们一样实时进行了纠正。”
推特对引发猜测的相关推文上加上了标签,标签指出:“这则推文中分享的部分或全部内容存在争议,并可能会对一次选举或其他公民程序产生误导。”
那则特朗普使用的贴文的发布者为马特·麦考维亚克(Matt Mackowiak),他已经删除了自己的推文并进行道歉,但那张图像仍在其他地方广泛传播。
美国时间周三凌晨,这张地图得到亲特朗普的阴谋论派别“匿名者Q”(QAnon)的推动,并在保守派意见领袖的转发下向更广范围得到传播。
BBC已就此联络密歇根选举局(Bureau of Elections),他们对数据差异没有任何回应,但表示这个阶段的结果是“非官方”的,且不是最终计票结果。
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威斯康辛州统计票数多于注册选民数?​

有大量传播的虚假说法声称,威斯康辛州(Wisconsin)的投票人数多于注册选民数。
一名用户在推特上表示:“突发:威斯康辛的选票数比注册投票的人数要多。总注册选民数:3129000。总投票数:3239920。这是舞弊的直接证据。”
然而,这个注册选民数据已经过时。最新数据显示,截至11月1日,该数据应为3684726。
这则推文现在已经被删除,但脸书和推特上许多人仍然在分享这个贴文的截图。
此次选举中,威斯康辛州的选民投票率明显高于此前几年。
该州还允许人们在选举日当天登记投票,这也意味着当地实际注册选民数量可能会比目前报告的数字还高。
 
真相永远需要investigate。不做调查,泛泛判断,是典型的不负责任的举动。
 
55 min ago

Michigan official says lawsuits filed suggesting voter fraud "provide no evidence to support their claims"​

From CNN's Brian Vitagliano


Bill Pugliano/Getty Images
Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

Michigan’s Attorney General Dana Nessel said lawsuits filed in Michigan against state agencies and officials suggesting voter fraud, "provide no evidence to support their claims."
"Those who continue to push a false narrative claiming our elections were not conducted in a fair, free and transparent manner, or that there is widespread voter fraud, are only trying to erode public confidence in our election system, undermine our democracy and steal the election away from the people of Michigan. The facts simply are not there to support these claims," Nessel said in a press release Friday.
Additionally, Nessel’s office issued five cease and desist letters to "entities and individuals spreading misinformation during the general election."
Nessel also announced felony charges of voter fraud against a 47-year-old Michigan man who allegedly completed, "signed and submitted his daughter’s absentee voter ballot to his local clerk’s office."
"Signing someone else’s name to a ballot is a felony under state law and spreading misinformation to purposefully interfere with our election and ballot-counting processes is criminal behavior that will not be tolerated. Michigan has multiple layers of review throughout our election process that make it very difficult for a bad actor to commit fraud, which is why it so seldom occurs," Nessel said in the release Friday.
Remember: Major new organizations, including CNN, projected Biden will win the presidential election. President Trump has launched a series of legal challenges to the results, even though there has been no evidence of widespread voting fraud despite Trump's claims.
 
1 hr 38 min ago

Arizona GOP files another lawsuit seeking to recount a portion of election day ballots​

From CNN’s Kara Scannell

The Arizona Republican Party filed a lawsuit late Thursday against the recorder of Maricopa County – the most populous county in the state – seeking a more expansive audit of ballots cast electronically.

The lawsuit is focused on a small number of votes and contains no allegation of fraud.

It alleges that under Arizona state law, the county recorder is required to conduct a hand recount of a random sampling of ballots cast in polling places, and electronic machines in at least 2% of precincts or two precincts, whichever is greater. The lawsuit alleges that secretary of state manual violates state law by defining the sample set to include polling places, not precincts.

The lawsuit alleges the recorder should sample ballots cast at 15 of the 748 precincts in Maricopa County, not 2%, or 3.5, of the 175 polling places.
CNN has reached out to the Maricopa County Recorder for comment.

The lawsuit is the second suit seeking a recount of a portion of ballots cast on Election Day. The Trump campaign filed a lawsuit on Saturday seeking to block certification of ballots until votes cast on Election Day could be reviewed. The campaign does not allege the county engaged in fraud but it alleges voters were confused and some believe their ballots may not have been counted if the machines read their ballots as overvotes. They are seeking a hand review of any ballots flagged by the machine as "overvote" adding it could result in thousands of votes for President Trump.

A judge heard six hours of evidence on Thursday but reserved decision. Lawyers for Maricopa County and the secretary of state said 191 ballots were flagged by the machines as possible overvotes for the presidential race.

CNN projected Thursday that Joe Biden won Arizona. He has a vote margin of more than 11,000 votes over Trump.
 
2 hr 52 min ago

Law firm attempting to block Biden's win in Pennsylvania withdraws from controversial Trump campaign case​

From CNN's Katelyn Polantz

A law firm representing the President’s campaign in a controversial and long shot attempt to block Pennsylvania’s popular vote for Joe Biden, is leaving the case.

The firm, Porter Wright Morris & Arthur, had two Pittsburgh-based lawyers leading the effort for the Trump campaign in Pennsylvania. In an overnight filing they both told a judge they were withdrawing. The Trump campaign may bring in new counsel.

The Trump campaign is now down to one lawyer in the federal court effort in Pennsylvania—a solo practitioner in Philadelphia named Linda Ann Kerns who touts her media appearances and commentary as much as her legal experience.

Porter Wright is a mid-sized Midwestern law firm built to primarily represent corporations. Its choice to leave the Trump case signals a growing discomfort nationally with the President’s continued wish to push unfounded attacks on voting, and undermine Biden’s win in several key states with a play to block the popular vote and sway the Electoral College in his favor.
"Plaintiffs and Porter Wright have reached a mutual agreement that Plaintiffs will be best served if Porter Wright withdraws, and current co-counsel and such other counsel as Plaintiffs may choose to engage represent Plaintiffs in this case. Plaintiffs are in the process of retaining and causing other counsel to enter an appearance herein," lawyers Ronald Hicks and Carolyn McGee wrote in the Pennsylvania case.
The case has major arguments and a hearing on evidence about voting set for next week.

The judge over the case, Matthew Brann, earned his seat during the Obama years but is a longtime leader in the Republican Party in Pennsylvania.
Earlier this week, Jones Day, a large and elite law firm that has long represented the interests of Trump, publicly distanced itself from cases where the President is contesting the popular vote or alleging voter fraud.

Remember: Major new organizations, including CNN, projected Biden will win the presidential election. President Trump has launched a series of legal challenges to the results, even though there has been no evidence of widespread voting fraud despite Trump's claims.
 
4 hr 24 min ago

Trump is not legally required to concede​

From CNN's Zachary B. Wolf


US President Donald Trump speaks in the briefing room at the White House in Washington, DC, on November 5.
US President Donald Trump speaks in the briefing room at the White House in Washington, DC, on November 5. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Conceding a lost election is the classy thing to do and it has usually been a part of the country coming together after a divisive campaign.

But President Trump has not yet conceded to Joe Biden, who was projected the winner of the 2020 election on Saturday, and has not indicated he has any intention of doing so.

Yet concession is a custom, not something required under the law. There are usually two elements to a concession — a call to the victor and a speech to supporters. Here's how it played out in some recent elections:
  • Hillary Clinton called Trump to concede in 2016 and she addressed supporters after it was clear she'd lose (although she advised Biden not to concede if the election was at all close and to let things play out).
  • John McCain set the modern standard for graciously conceding when he told supporters, "A little while ago, I had the honor of calling Sen. Barack Obama to congratulate him on being elected the next president of the country that we both love." Read it here.
  • Al Gore called George W. Bush to concede on Election Night in 2000, then called him back to un-concede when results in Florida tightened. He ultimately did concede, 36 days later, after the Supreme Court ended recounts and gave the White House to Bush. And he gave a conciliatory speech to the nation even as his supporters fumed at the result.
The constitution is very clear that a new president will take the oath of office on Jan. 20 at noon. That will happen if Trump loses graciously or if he has to be escorted out of the Oval Office by Secret Service, although it's not exactly clear what the Secret Servce would do in the event Trump wouldn't leave.
Read more here.
 
而科学的数据分析往往能够将掩饰的红布轻易揭开。看看数据分析的各种文章吧。
 
3 min ago

Trump campaign drops Arizona lawsuit acknowledging it's moot​

From CNN’s Kara Scannell

Lawyers for the Trump campaign dropped its lawsuit seeking a review of all ballots cast on Election Day after finding that the margin of victory for the presidential contest in Arizona could not be overcome.
“Since the close of yesterday’s hearing, the tabulation of votes statewide has rendered unnecessary a judicial ruling as to the presidential electors,” the Trump campaign wrote in a filing. It said it did want the judge to rule on their requests to review votes for two down-ballot races.
The Trump campaign filed the lawsuit on Saturday alleging some voters were confused on Election Day and feared that their ballots were not counted if the vote tabulation machines classified their ballots as overvotes. They were seeking a hand review of any ballots flagged by the machine as “overvotes” alleging it could result in thousands of votes for President Trump.

During a six-hour hearing yesterday a lawyer for the Trump campaign walked back its request, telling the judge that it would only seek a review of vote counts if the number of so-called overvotes exceeded the margin of victory.

The judge reserved decision. Lawyers for Maricopa County and the Secretary of State said 191 ballots were flagged by the machines as possible overvotes for the presidential race.

CNN projected Thursday that Joe Biden won Arizona. He has a vote margin of more than 11,000 votes over Trump.

Lawyers for the Maricopa County and Secretary of State filed papers on Friday noting that the latest ballot counts “moots” the Trump campaign’s claim. It reported that the difference in votes between Biden and Trump is 11,414 votes with 10,315 ballots remaining. The total number of votes flagged as possible overvotes remained at 191.
 

AZ官司不行,理由基本上就是差距太大,不 值得人力物力
要是差距小还可以争取
 
25 min ago

Roughly 20% of ballots have been counted in first full day of Georgia recount​

From CNN’s Jason Morris

People recount ballots in Lawrenceville, Georgia, on November 13.
People recount ballots in Lawrenceville, Georgia, on November 13. Megan Varner/Getty Images

Approximately 20% of ballots have been counted on the first full day of recounting in Georgia, according to Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger.
“The first full day of counting in the full hand tallying audit went smoothly. Over 1.1 million ballots were hand counted across the state," Raffensperger said. "This constitutes approximately 20% of ballots. As with any new process there were some questions and we are aware of some errors made by individual counties. We are aware of one county who mistakenly thought they could hand sort and then use machines to then count the sorted stacks. That is incorrect and not allowed in this process. They will have to recount those batches by hand.”
Approximately 50 counties completed their work yesterday, according to the Georgia Secretary of State’s office.
 
31 min ago

Trump had a bad Friday in court with his election cases​

From CNN's Katelyn Polantz

Evan Vucci/AP
Evan Vucci/AP

Legal experts have been saying for a week now that President Donald Trump's court cases to throw out ballots and turn around his election loss were bound to fail.

Throughout Friday, the failures piled up.

in one day, nine cases meant to attack President-elect Joe Biden's win in key states were denied or dropped, adding up to a brutal series of losses for the President, who's already lost and refuses to let go.

Many of the cases are built upon a foundational idea that absentee voting and slight mismanagement of elections invite widespread fraud, which is not proven and state leaders have overwhelming said did not happen in 2020.

In court on Friday:
  • The Trump campaign lost six cases in Montgomery County and Philadelphia County in Pennsylvania over whether almost 9,000 absentee ballots could be thrown out.
  • The Trump campaign dropped a lawsuit in Arizona seeking a review by hand of all ballots because Biden's win wouldn't change.
  • A Republican candidate and voters in Pennsylvania lost a case over absentee ballots that arrived after Election Day, because they didn't have the ability to sue. A case addressing similar issue is still waiting on decisions from the Supreme Court -- which has remained noticeably silent on election disputes since before Election Day.
  • Poll watchers in Michigan lost their case to stop the certification of votes in Detroit, and a judge rejected their allegations of fraud.
Read more here.
 
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