Canada's September CPI----Inflation jumps to 18-year high

[贾和平]

September CPI is out today. Here are highlights:

CPI rose 4.4% on a year-over-year basis in September, the fastest pace since February 2003 and up from a 4.1% gain in August. Excluding gasoline, the CPI rose 3.5% year over year in September.

The monthly CPI rose 0.2% in September, the same growth rate as in August. Month-over-month CPI growth has been positive for nine consecutive months. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.4%.

Prices rise in all eight major components:​

Gas rose 32.8% year over year in September.

Food prices rose 3.9% year over year in September, following a 2.7% increase in August. The gain in September was led by prices for food purchased from stores, which rose 4.2% in September, following a 2.6% increase in August. Food purchased from restaurants rose 3.1% in September, following a 3.2% increase in August.

1). Prices for meat products rise year over year in September

2) Prices rise year over year in September in major food components

3) Yearly price changes in the homeowners' replacement cost index ( Note; Expect your home insurance premium rises)

4) The Consumer Price Index rises at a faster pace in six provinces

 

[wei_cheng]

CPI 4.4% 略高于预估值，但相比 2021年9月美国的 CPI 通胀 5.4% 其实还好。

1) Bank of Canada 或许会在 10月27号 宣布继续减少购债，以及升息的时间表。如果加拿大先于美国减少购债 / 升息，并且石油依旧没有比计划提高更多供应，加元兑美元可能还会上涨。

2) 供应链的问题还将持续一段时间。中国或许长期来说会让人民币适当地小幅升值以应对大宗原材料的上涨、生产者 PPI 显示的输入性通胀。因此可能会传导到美加 CPI 仍然继续上涨。

 

[茶马盐铁]

中国停电停供了， 加拿大市面上商品减少， 相应的，货币就相对增加了。
CPI 怎么可能上涨呢？

中国已经抢得了通胀的价格话语权， 这次只是牛刀小试而已。

 

[贵圈]

你信吗？4.4%

 

[冷笑卅声]

你信吗？4.4%

我不信，感觉至少20%

 

[贵圈]

所以说加拿大
"耐性”十足。哈哈

 

[klee19444]

CPI是基于消费者的权重篮子，每个人消费水平，地区不一样，感觉不一样。疫情下不用开车上班，油费，停车费省了，中国人都自己买房子，现在利率低，所以剔除油费，房租，应该不会太感觉到通货膨胀的影响。

 

[lifeisfun]

CPI是基于消费者的权重篮子，每个人消费水平，地区不一样，感觉不一样。疫情下不用开车上班，油费，停车费省了，中国人都自己买房子，现在利率低，所以剔除油费，房租，应该不会太感觉到通货膨胀的影响。

吃饭食品上涨感觉不到，还有所有和房子有关的费用。你不开车，开车上班运货的会把所有费用都转嫁給你。另外CPI的上涨预示着加息的到来，你的贷款也得多还利息。