通胀跌到2.8, 下次不会再涨息了吧

[EV]

管他是4.x 还是2.x,没感觉有多大区别，买东西照样贵。

 

[facebookca]

浏览附件1103588
管他是4.x 还是2.x,没感觉有多大区别，买东西照样贵。

2.8 是漲幅，應該是和去年同期相比，去年商品價格已經很高了，所以今年只會更高，東西照樣貴，但漲幅下降了。

 

[ccc]

Canada's inflation falls to 27-month low but underlying pressures persist

Canada's annual inflation rate dropped more than expected to a 27-month low of 2.8% in June led by lower energy prices, data showed on Tuesday, though food and shelter cost increases persisted despite 10 interest rate hikes in less than 18 months.

www.reuters.com

Canada's inflation falls to 27-month low but underlying pressures persist​

By Ismail Shakil and Steve Scherer
July 18, 202312:45 PM EDTUpdated 7 hours ago

A person shops in the beverage aisle at a grocery store in Toronto, Ontario, Canada November 22, 2022. REUTERS/Carlos Osorio/File Photo

OTTAWA, July 18 (Reuters) - Canada's annual inflation rate dropped more than expected to a 27-month low of 2.8% in June led by lower energy prices, data showed on Tuesday, though food and shelter cost increases persisted despite 10 interest rate hikes in less than 18 months.

Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast inflation to drop to 3.0% from 3.4% in May. Month-over-month, the consumer price index was up 0.1%, Statistics Canada said, which was also lower than the 0.3% forecast.

June's reading, which benefited from a comparison to the four-decade high inflation a year earlier, means the annual rate was within the Bank of Canada's 1% to 3% control range for the first time since March 2021. The bank targets 2% inflation.

"Inflation is definitely moving in the right direction, but we're seeing stickier and more persistent core measures," said Michael Greenberg, senior vice president and portfolio manager at Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions.

Excluding food and energy, prices rose 3.5% compared with a 4.0% gain in May. Grocery prices rose 9.1% year-over-year in June, a tick higher than the increase recorded in May. Prices of food from restaurants slowed slightly in June from May.

Shelter costs increased a seasonally adjusted 0.5% in June from May.

The average of two of the Bank of Canada's (BoC) core measures of underlying inflation, CPI-median and CPI-trim, came in at 3.8% compared with 3.9% in May.

"The Bank of Canada's preferred measures of core inflation, which exclude significant moves in individual categories, show that underlying price pressures remain sticky," said Royce Mendes, head of macro strategy at Desjardins Group.

The three-month annualized rate of the core median measure remained at 3.6%, while the trimmed mean indicator accelerated to 4.0% from 3.9% in May, Mendes said.

Canada's Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, speaking to reporters on a call from India where she had attended a G20 meeting, hailed the inflation report as a "milestone moment" and said inflation was lower in Canada than in any other G7 country.

Freeland urged Canadian businesses - especially food retailers - "to be responsible right now and to support Canadians and the Canadian economy by a responsible approach to their pricing."

The Bank of Canada last week raised rates to a 22-year high of 5.0%, its tenth rate increase since March of last year, and said it could hike them further if fresh data shows inflation is stalling above its target.

The central bank, citing excess demand, said last week that it expects inflation to remain around 3% over the next year before dropping to the bank's 2% target by mid-2025, six months later than previously anticipated.

"We're still not at 2%," said Jules Boudreau, senior economist at Mackenzie Investments. "So there's still some work to be done. But policy is probably restrictive enough at the moment to do that."

Money markets trimmed bets for a rate hike at the BoC's next meeting in December to a 20% probability from 25% before the data.

The price of gasoline, which led the slowdown, fell 21.6% compared with June 2022 when China, the largest importer of crude oil, eased some COVID-19 public health restrictions that contributed to higher global demand.

The Canadian dollar was trading 0.2% lower at 1.3225 to the greenback, or 75.61 U.S. cents.

 

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Inflation falls into the Bank of Canada’s target range. Are rate hikes done? - National | Globalnews.ca

Inflation has fallen back into the Bank of Canada's target range of one-to-three per cent, but some economists are warning that might not be enough to stave off future rate hikes.

globalnews.ca

Statistics Canada says that excluding mortgage interest costs, inflation would have risen two per cent year-over-year in June.

 

[肥猫]

2023年还有一次加息

 

[facebookca]

2023年还有一次加息

我也這樣認為，應該是九月，接下來暫停再觀後效。如果一切如常，明年某個時間點開始進入減息週期。

 

[ASSISTANT]

正好落在央行预测一到三点之间。准不准。惊喜不惊喜。
食品涨超过九点。其它能当饭吃。这两点几估计和去年高位比。站在巨人肩膀所以不显高

 

[ASSISTANT]

对了，去年这个时候油过二了。今年好点。应该是主要原因。油不能当桃子吃

 

[肥猫]

方副总这就急着催牛逼了。其实如果移民节奏慢点会更好。

 

[CFC250]

2.8 是漲幅，應該是和去年同期相比，去年商品價格已經很高了，所以今年只會更高，東西照樣貴，但漲幅下降了。

Month over month吧。。

 

[肥猫]

Month over month吧。。

不是。是同比。月度环比0.1，除去食品能源同比3.9。低了一些但还不够。

 

[茶马盐铁]

加拿大这破地方还有移民要来？？

 

[茶马盐铁]

 

[facebookca]

Month over month吧。。

If it was calculated by month over month, 2.8 很可怕瞭, 1.028^12 = 1.3928, 一年漲幅39趴!

 

[说不得的微博]

2023年还有一次加息

要看下月数据，如果在这个水平，就不会加了。RBC已预测今年不再加息。央行最近几个月可以说是不断被打脸。