这个美国国际地缘政治大师，预测了乌克兰战争，这次又准确的预测了美以捆绑的困境

:($): 说:
是周围的阿拉伯兄弟想瓜分领土，不让其建国。
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结果一切都成了以色列的错？
 
茶马盐铁 说:
结果一切都成了以色列的错？
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肯定的，谁让以色列把阿拉伯兄弟给打残了，阿拉伯兄弟只能退而求其次，让巴勒斯坦建国。
 
犹太人在英国人撤离的第二天就服从联合国决议，宣布建国。

与此同时，本来也可以建国的巴勒斯坦人，不但选择不建国，反而纠结周边邻国，选择对以色列开战。

既然巴勒斯坦人选择了战争，却又不接受战败的事实。

土地本来就不是他们的，可建国又不肯建，战争又打不赢，走也不肯走，去了能收留他们的兄弟国家却又在人家国内搞颠覆，搞动乱。结果被到处赶。

接收了国际援助，却又玩贪腐，百姓也是无知加愚蠢，自己的钱财福利被恐怖集团拿走了，不但不去讨回，反而要去做炸弹，当铜墙铁壁，甚至死皮赖脸的作假撒谎卖惨。

怪不得连约旦和埃及都死守边境，绝不肯接纳任何巴勒斯坦难民。
 
茶马盐铁 说:
犹太人在英国人撤离的第二天就服从联合国决议，宣布建国。

与此同时，本来也可以建国的巴勒斯坦人，不但选择不建国，反而纠结周边邻国，选择对以色列开战。

既然巴勒斯坦人选择了战争，却又不接受战败的事实。

土地本来就不是他们的，可建国又不肯建，战争又打不赢，走也不肯走，去了能收留他们的兄弟国家却又在人家国内搞颠覆，搞动乱。结果被到处赶。

接收了国际援助，却又玩贪腐，百姓也是无知加愚蠢，自己的钱财福利被恐怖集团拿走了，不但不去讨回，反而要去做炸弹，当铜墙铁壁，甚至死皮赖脸的作假撒谎卖惨。

怪不得连约旦和埃及都死守边境，绝不肯接纳任何巴勒斯坦难民。
点击展开...
你是明白人。:zhichi:
 
ert0000 说:

美国芝加哥大学John J. Mearsheimer， 非但准确的预测和批评美国的东欧北约东扩政策会导致俄罗斯入侵，而且多次批评美国政治的绝对禁忌，“以色列在美国游说集团对美国的影响”，和美以捆绑非但对以色列不利，而且长期损害美国利益。​


这个大师因为坦率的批评，一直被美国主流，和最强大的军工集团和犹太，花街集团打压，被边缘化。

如果美国能多听取这样坦率的，高深战略大师的真知灼见，美国何至如此处处设防开战，漏风的境地。

以色列游说集团每年平均给美国的政治献金是阿拉伯中东游说集团的100倍。$80M VS $0.8M



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美国是老大
中国是老二
俄国是距离较远的老三



Israel-Hamas, Ukraine-Russia and China: John Mearsheimer on why the US is in serious trouble!​

Centre for Independent Studies
86.5K subscribers

1,431,279 views Premiered Oct 30, 2023 BRISBANE

PART 1. Professor John Mearsheimer addressed an audience in Brisbane on Monday, 23 October as part of an event with Tom Switzer and Peter Varghese. This video is John's standalone lecture, you can find the rest of the conversation and Q&A session in PART 2 here; • In Depth Q&A: Mearsheimer and Varghes...

The Middle East crisis will have have severe repercussions for Israel, its neighbors, and U.S. foreign policy. Israel's response to Hamas's attacks is expected to continue to provoke anger across the Middle East, potentially fueling jihadist movements and escalating conflicts with other groups, contributing to regional instability. The U.S. has a vital interest in maintaining stability in the Persian Gulf, but the Israel-Hamas conflict threatens to undermine this.

It's crucial to acknowledge that Russia, rather than constituting a substantial threat to the U.S., has the potential to be an ally in containing China. However, the U.S.-supported campaign in Ukraine has inadvertently drawn Russia closer to China, contravening the principles of balance-of-power politics, and this commitment to Ukraine is likely to remain.

All this conflict risks diverting American focus from East Asia, where efforts to forge a coalition to address a significant strategic challenge are underway, it's in Australia's interest to collaborate with the U.S. in deterring China. Beijing's optimal outcome involves the U.S. remaining deeply involved in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, preventing a full pivot to East Asia. CIS promotes free choice and individual liberty and the open exchange of ideas.

CIS encourages debate among leading academics, politicians, media and the public. We aim to make sure good policy ideas are heard and seriously considered so that Australia can prosper. Follow CIS on our Socials;
 


Ukraine, Taiwan and The True Cause of War | John Mearsheimer​


145,458 views
Dec 7, 2023

In this conversation, John speaks with political scientist and international relations scholar Professor John Mearsheimer about the recent war in Ukraine, and the potential for conflict in Taiwan.

Mearsheimer argues for what he calls 'offensive realism', which holds that conflicts between states are driven by the need to maximize power in relation to other states.

This is in contrast to the heterodox liberal framework, which Mearsheimer contends was only tenable under the recently ended ‘unipolar’ era. Using this framework, Mearsheimer famously predicted the recent Russian invasion, arguing that it was an inevitable outcome of NATO's eastward expansion.

The discussion also turns to the situation in Taiwan and why a conflict in Asia may be more likely than a European conflict during the new Cold War. This is an important, thought-provoking, and at times controversial discussion—essential viewing for anyone trying to understand the confusing and tumultuous geopolitical climate we find ourselves in.

John J. Mearsheimer is the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, where he has taught since 1982. He graduated from West Point in 1970 and then served five years as an officer in the U.S. Air Force. He then started graduate school in political science at Cornell University in 1975. He received his Ph.D. in 1980. He spent the 1979-1980 academic year as a research fellow at the Brookings Institution, and was a postdoctoral fellow at Harvard University’s Centre for International Affairs from 1980 to 1982. During the 1998-1999 academic year, he was the Whitney H. Shepardson Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York.

His recent and most notable works include, "The Tragedy of Great Power Politics" (2001), "The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy" (2007), and "Great Delusion: Liberal Dreams and International Realities" (2018).
 
metropolis 说:
www.youtube.com

Prof. John Mearsheimer : Who Is the US Enemy: Russia or China?

Prof. John Mearsheimer : Who Is the US Enemy: Russia or China?
www.youtube.com www.youtube.com

Prof. John Mearsheimer : Who Is the US Enemy: Russia or China?​

Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom

Streamed live 2 hours ago

1月5日，最新 Mearsheimer 教授采访视频，谁是美国的敌人：俄国或中国？
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美国的敌人只是美国自己。

俄国和中国能够从肉体上消灭美国，但是美国则能从精神上消灭美国。
 
ert0000 说:

美国芝加哥大学John J. Mearsheimer， 非但准确的预测和批评美国的东欧北约东扩政策会导致俄罗斯入侵，而且多次批评美国政治的绝对禁忌，“以色列在美国游说集团对美国的影响”，和美以捆绑非但对以色列不利，而且长期损害美国利益。​


这个大师因为坦率的批评，一直被美国主流，和最强大的军工集团和犹太，花街集团打压，被边缘化。

如果美国能多听取这样坦率的，高深战略大师的真知灼见，美国何至如此处处设防开战，漏风的境地。

以色列游说集团每年平均给美国的政治献金是阿拉伯中东游说集团的100倍。$80M VS $0.8M



点击展开...



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