乌未来走向

5:1都是什么时候的黄历了,前段时间乌克兰一天消耗的炮弹已经和俄罗斯持平了。况且俄罗斯火炮打不准,乌克兰利用北约武器,侦查系统和无人机,在战争中期精度占很大优势。

不是老黄历,乌克兰只能在个别点上持平。因为乌克兰战争不是西方必须打赢的战争,乌克兰本身只是消耗俄罗斯,帮军火商发财的工具。西方的军工厂只是把弹药价格提高了3-5倍,没有大幅提高产能。而俄国是全面转入战时状态。弹药产能上优势巨大。至于北约的奇迹武器,早就一个个走下神坛啊了。没有什么优势。现在俄军无人机供应充足,无人机引导炮兵的作战模式下,伤亡有限。
 
最后编辑:
郭正亮的视频讲解俄国近两年的经济。认为它已经在中国,印度和土耳其的帮助下,实现了战略突围。

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左侧是预测,右侧是实际数据,预测42%外国公司撤离,实际为8.5%

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俄国去年经济是 - 2%,今年已经转正,英国今年却是负增长。

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俄国今年PMI54%,超过中国刚过50%,德国最惨不到40%

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2022比2021年,俄国进出口增减对比

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欧洲,日韩等退出的汽车,半导体,手机市场份额基本被中国吃进


普丁戰略突圍,中俄分進合擊 2023.12.14【亮子立學|郭正亮】 @funseeTW​


@阿土仔
仔细看看,谁快被耗死了
 
华尔街报近一个月前说,奇迹不会出现了,普京已经稳了。

It’s Time to End Magical Thinking About Russia’s Defeat​

Putin has withstood the West’s best efforts to reverse his invasion of Ukraine, and his hold on power is firm. The U.S. and its allies need a new strategy: containment.​

im-887023
Russian President Vladimir Putin at a National Unity Day ceremony in Moscow, Nov. 4. Almost two years after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Putin has reason to believe time is on his side. PHOTO: MIKHAIL METZEL/SPUTNIK/ASSOCIATED PRESS
By Eugene Rumer and Andrew S. Weiss

Nov. 16, 2023 10:00 am ET


As Russian President Vladimir Putin looks toward the second anniversary of his all-out assault on Ukraine, his self-confidence is hard to miss. A much-anticipated Ukrainian counter-offensive has not achieved the breakthrough that would give Kyiv a strong hand to negotiate. Tumult in the Middle East dominates the headlines, and bipartisan support for Ukraine in the U.S. has been upended by polarization and dysfunction in Congress, not to mention the pro-Putin leanings of Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump.

Putin has reason to believe that time is on his side. At the front line, there are no indications that Russia is losing what has become a war of attrition. The Russian economy has been buffeted, but it is not in tatters. Putin’s hold on power was, paradoxically, strengthened following Yevgeny Prigozhin’s failed rebellion in June. Popular support for the war remains solid, and elite backing for Putin has not fractured.

 

我很赞同郭正亮的说法,
 
俄乌开战后,司机第三次访美,拜登的说法明显不同。

Biden says US will support Ukraine 'as long as we can' amid GOP standoff, a change from 'as long as it takes'

Chris Panella
Dec 13, 2023, 5:58 PM EST

 
俄乌开战后,司机第三次访美,拜登的说法明显不同。

Biden says US will support Ukraine 'as long as we can' amid GOP standoff, a change from 'as long as it takes'

Chris Panella
Dec 13, 2023, 5:58 PM EST

斯基懂不懂英语不重要,忽悠乌克兰人不懂英语:tx:
 

乌克兰总司令新办公室中发现窃听装置,正在调查。​

Ukraine's Security Service launches investigation into device in 'potential' office of Commander-in-Chief​

SUNDAY, 17 DECEMBER 2023, 22:15

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The Security Service of Ukraine (SSU) has stated that a technical device which was out of order was found in one of the potential locations of Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Ukraine's Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief. A criminal investigation has been opened.

Source: Security Service of Ukraine

Quote: "The Security Service of Ukraine has opened a criminal investigation further to the discovery of a technical device in one of the potential locations of Valerii Zaluzhnyi, the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Proceedings have been initiated under Article 359.2 of the Criminal Code of Ukraine (illegal acquisition, sale or use of special technology for obtaining information).

We emphasise that the equipment was not found in Valerii Zaluzhnyi's office, but in one of the places that he could have used for work in the future.

According to preliminary information, the device was not in working order. No storage devices or means of remote audio transmission were found. This technical device will be submitted for expert examination."

Background: Earlier, Ukrainska Pravda sources reported that bugging devices had been found in the offices of Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Commander-in-Chief of Ukraine’s Armed Forces, and some of his colleagues. The room was to have been the Commander-in-Chief’s new office and was being inspected before he moved into it.

 
俄乌开战后,司机第三次访美,拜登的说法明显不同。

Biden says US will support Ukraine 'as long as we can' amid GOP standoff, a change from 'as long as it takes'

Chris Panella
Dec 13, 2023, 5:58 PM EST

拜老不糊涂啊!
 
我都不敢翻了,怕这里有人说误导。直接读英文的好。

你是支持俄罗斯侵略乌克兰的,这个不用翻译,也没有人会被误导。
 
你是支持俄罗斯侵略乌克兰的,这个不用翻译,也没有人会被误导。
我支持尽早谈判,和解,最好能退还全部侵占的乌克兰领土,包括克里米亚。

我同意贵圈从一开始就说这是代理人的战争,乌克兰不应糜烂自己的土地,充当他人的棋子。

你愿意如何理解我的意思,是你的自由。
 
我支持尽早谈判,和解,最好能退还全部侵占的乌克兰领土,包括克里米亚。

我同意贵圈从一开始就说这是代理人的战争,乌克兰不应糜烂自己的土地,充当他人的棋子。

你愿意如何理解我的意思,是你的自由。

你怎么可能支持归还乌克兰的土地呢,那样普京就失败了。但是每当有对乌克兰不利的消息时,你的兴奋之情是溢于言表的,这是每个人都看在眼里的。立场问题,本没有对错,但是不要虚伪的不承认自己的立场,把自己打扮成理中客的样子。
 
你怎么可能支持归还乌克兰的土地呢,那样普京就失败了。但是每当有对乌克兰不利的消息时,你的兴奋之情是溢于言表的,这是每个人都看在眼里的。立场问题,本没有对错,但是不要虚伪的不承认自己的立场,把自己打扮成理中客的样子。
我不支持普京胜,但是认为乌克兰靠讨要难以获胜,同样,以色列靠现在的战术也没法消灭哈马斯。

所以同意贵圈,支持尽早停火止战,谈和,各退一步。

我从来不隐瞒观点,别人不喜欢,不接受,扭曲,无解,对我来说都无所谓,不是我能左右的。
 
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