Canada's terrible, horrible, no good, very bad decade. The numbers prove it
If Canada had stuck to 2015 trends, we'd be $4,200 richer per year and thousands killed by crime and health shortages would still be alive.
国家邮报重磅发文，评论加拿大失去的10年，在自由党领导下，国家所有发展指标均大幅退步，如果能坚持2015年的发展势头，我们会比现在富的多，这就是上一代韭菜耍小性子，后几代人遭殃
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Canada's terrible, horrible, no good, very bad decade. The numbers prove it
If Canada had stuck to 2015 trends, we'd all be $4,200 richer per year, and thousands killed by crime, drugs and health shortages would still be aliveAuthor of the article:
By Tristin Hopper
Published Apr 24, 2025
Last updated 13 hours ago
10 minute read
617 Comments
PHOTO BY ISTOCK/GETTY IMAGES
Throughout the 2025 campaign, the Conservatives have frequently referred to what they call the “Lost Liberal Decade,” a reference to the fact that Canada has lagged dramatically on virtually every available indicator since the Liberals first came to power in 2015.
In sum, the economy is worse, crime is worse, public services are worse, affordability is worse — and there’s a whole galaxy of niche indicators, such as firearms incidents, refugee backlogs, even life expectancy, that are worse than they’ve ever been.
Crime is up everywhere, and for everything
Article contentIn the year the Liberals took office, 604 people were murdered across Canada. This was already a slight uptick from the year before, when murder rates hit a low not seen since the mid-1960s.
Just seven years later, in 2022, homicides would hit a high of 874. In raw numbers, that’s 270 more murdered Canadians.
But even when accounting for population growth, there are way more murders happening now than in 2015. The homicide rate in that year was 1.71 murders per 100,000 people. As of 2023, the most recent year for which Statistics Canada has released data, it was 1.94.
Put another way, if Canada had stuck to the homicide rates of 2015, we’d have had 94 fewer murders in 2023, 216 fewer murders in 2022, and about 150 fewer murders in 2021.
And it’s a similar story when it comes to virtually every other category of crime. Statistics Canada maintains a “crime severity index” that attempts to aggregate the raw amount of criminality each year in Canada. The index bottoms out just before the Liberals came to power in 2015, and has been on the upswing ever since.
Unfortunately, this is particularly true when it comes to violent crime. For one thing, the number of guns being turned on people each year in Canada has never been higher.
In 2015, for every 100,000 Canadians, there were 28.6 incidents of firearm-related violent crime. By 2022, the last full year for which data is available, this had surged to 36.7 incidents — nearly a 30-per-cent increase in just seven years.
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In tandem with the spiking crime, prisons are increasingly empty
Article contentThe Correctional Service of Canada publishes annual statistics on incarceration rates, and a noticeable trend begins to emerge starting in 2015: The prison population begins to plummet.
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On the eve of the Liberals coming to power, the incarceration rate in the federal prison system was 53.6 prisoners per 100,000, a rate that had stayed relatively consistent throughout the early 2010s. Starting in 2015, it begins a steady plunge until reaching 40.1 out of 100,000.
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The trend is even more dramatic in provincial and territorial prisons. The Liberals took charge of a country that had 85.5 prisoners per 100,000 in provincial jails. As of last count, this was down to 71.6, and has briefly dipped as low as 61.6.
These trends can partially be explained by population growth: As the rate of overall Canadians has surged, Canada’s incarcerated population has represented an ever-smaller share of the total.
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But the scale of the decrease shows that crime has indeed gone up in tandem with Canada emptying its prisons. Some prisons, such as B.C.’s Okanagan Correctional Centre, are almost entirely empty. In 2023, it was only at 20 per cent capacity, housing 167 prisoners out of a total capacity of 800.
Asylum claims are absolutely through the roof
In 2015, there were 16,058 asylum claimants in Canada, foreign nationals who requested entry to the country as refugees and were waiting for their claims to be adjudicated.
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As of January, Canada had 272,440 pending asylum claims, an increase of about 1,700 per cent. In just the month of January, Canada received almost as many new refugee claims as the entire backlog in 2015.
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In that month alone, Canada took in 10,365 asylum seekers, an average of 14 per hour — and that was a slow month. The Immigration and Refugee Board reported that it was their lowest rate of new refugee claimants since the fall of 2023.
Every single day under the Liberals, housing prices have gotten $43 more unaffordable
One of the Liberals’ most-touted campaign pledges in 2015 was to make housing more affordable. “Liberals will invest in the middle class and those working hard to join it by making it easier to find an affordable place to call home,” read a press release from the time.
At the time, the average house in Canada cost about $430,000. Adjusting to 2025 dollars, that’s $557,000.
As of February, the benchmark price was $713,700. Over the last decade of Liberal governance, the average Canadian house has risen in price by about $16,000 per year. In other words, for every single day since the Liberals were elected in 2015, the average home has gotten $43 more unaffordable every 24 hours.
Health-care wait times are twice as bad
In 2015, it wasn’t a semi-regular occurrence for patients to die in the waiting rooms of Canadian hospitals. By 2023, a single hospital in Montreal yielded two such incidents over the course of a single weekend.Article content
The Fraser Institute has been compiling reports of health-care wait times since the 1990s. The situation wasn’t great in 2015, but now it’s catastrophic.
In 2015, the median wait time for surgery was 18.3 weeks. By 2024, it was 30 weeks.
The result is thousands more Canadians dying due to an inability to obtain timely treatment. In 2015, Ontario counted 2,281 people who died while on a waiting list for medically necessary procedure. By 2023-24, that had risen to a total of 15,474.
If the economy had stuck to 2015 trends, we’d all be $4,200 richer
For much of Canada’s history, the average Canadian worker earned about the same as the average U.S. worker. Canada started to fall behind in the 1980s, and the trend accelerated over the last 10 years.The usually cited metric for worker productivity is per capita GDP — each Canadian’s average share of the total economy.
In 2015, Canadian per capita GDP was the equivalent of US$43,594.20, according to the World Bank. This represented 76.4 per cent of American per capita GDP at the time.
Over the last 10 years, Canadian per capita GDP has stayed almost completely stagnant: It was the equivalent of US$44,468.70 as of 2023.
The Americans, however, have all gotten richer. The average Canadian’s share of GDP now represents just 67.5 per cent of the U.S. equivalent, as of 2023 numbers.
In 2023, University of Calgary economist Trevor Tombe calculated that if the Canadian economy had simply kept pace with the U.S., we’d all be earning an extra $5,500 per year.
Statistics Canada has found much the same. In a May 2024 report, the agency reported that if the Canadian economy had stuck to 2015 trends, the average Canadian would be $4,200 richer per year. That’s enough money to cancel out basically every Liberal subsidy, bursary and benefit of the last decade.
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Every developed nation except us has gotten richer
Article contentLast month, Tombe also tallied up the last decade of per capita GDP growth of every country in the OECD, an organization that effectively comprises the world’s developed nations.
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Of 42 countries, Canada was at rock bottom. The only country with worse GDP growth was the tiny European nation of Luxembourg.
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The average Pole has seen their share of the national economy surge by 40.1 per cent over the past 10 years. The average Korean has seen it rise by 23.8 per cent, the average American by 18.2 per cent.
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But in Canada, that figure was just 1.4 per cent. Not only has Canada’s economy been almost entirely stagnant since 2015, but it’s been stagnant even as the rest of the world gets richer.
Debt has increased $4.10 per person, per day, for 10 years
The Liberals took charge of a country with total sovereign debt of $612.3 billion. Adjusting to 2025 dollars, that’s about $800 billion.
As of the end of 2024, it’s now $1.4 trillion. In real dollars, that’s an extra $600 billion in sovereign debt. Put another way, that’s an extra $15,000 owing for every man, woman and child in Canada.
For every single day of Liberal governance since 2015, that works out to an average of $4.10 in new debt for every citizen. So, if you’re part of a family of five, your household’s share of the Liberal debt accumulation has worked out to $20.50 per day, every day, since 2015.
The eye-watering budget deficits incurred during the COVID-19 pandemic have played a part, but the Liberals have dramatically swelled government spending everywhere all at once.
As one example, the federal public service employed 257,034 people in 2015. By 2024, that was up to 367,772 — an increase of about 43 per cent.
Military recruitment has dropped off a cliff
It’s not news that Canada has a threadbare military. Armoured personnel carriers held together with bungee cords have been a reality since the 1990s.But the Canadian Armed Forces of 2015 were exponentially more capable than they are now.
Recruitment has plummeted to historical lows, to the point where the military has dropped its medical standards to accept recruits with previously disqualifying conditions such as asthma or ADHD.
Just before the Liberals took power, internal estimates were that the military was about 900 members short of being at full strength. That shortage has now surged to 16,000.
The recruitment crisis is so acute that up to half of the ships, aircraft and vehicles in Canadian military fleets cannot be used because there is no one around to fix them. As one example, as of last count, only 45.7 per cent of the Royal Canadian Navy fleet was considered “serviceable to meet training and readiness requirements in support of concurrent operations.”
Immigration intake has been wildly high
When the Liberals took power, the population of Canada was about 35.8 million. As of this writing, it’s 41.6 million. That’s 5.8 million new people over the course of 10 years, or 580,000 new Canadians per year.
For context, the population of all four Atlantic provinces is just 2.6 million. The population of Alberta is five million. The population of the entire Halifax metropolitan area is 530,000, not even a year’s worth of new immigrants.
Canada has been a high-immigration country throughout its history, but the rate of sustained population growth seen under the Liberals is unlike anything witnessed in the last 100 years.
It also helps to explain why shortages of everything from housing to doctors have become so acute, so quickly. In that same 10-year period, the number of housing starts recorded by the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation was just 2.3 million, with more than half of that being taken up by apartment units.
Going all the way back to the 19th century, Canada has typically had a population that is about 10 per cent of the United States’ — a ratio that has stayed constant, given that both countries have maintained similar growth rates.
That’s no longer the case. Since 2015, the U.S. has grown by about six per cent. Canada has grown by 16.2 per cent.
The birthrate has cratered
Canada now has one of the lowest birthrates on the planet. As of 2023, it had dropped to 1.26 children per woman, a rate matched only by four other “lowest low” countries: South Korea, Spain, Italy and Japan.When the Liberals came to power in 2015, the birthrate was unsustainably low at 1.6 children per woman, but not catastrophically so.
As to why birthrates are plummeting more deeply in Canada than almost anywhere else, one answer seems to be affordability. Multiple surveys have revealed that young Canadians want to have more children, but they can’t afford to.
Life expectancy has gone down
These last figures may be the most stark — we are dying sooner.When the Liberals took power, Canadian life expectancy at birth was 81.9 years. As of last count, in 2023, it was 81.5
That’s not a huge decline, but it’s basically the first time anything like this has happened. For at least the last 100 years, Canadian lifespans have been getting longer with each passing calendar year (except for the COVID pandemic years).
As to why the trend has ground to a halt during the last 10 years, one explanation is that tens of thousands of Canadians are dying from drug overdoses.
In the year the Liberals took power in 2015, 2,176 Canadians died of drug overdoses — an average of six per day. According to the most recent tally by Health Canada, 21 Canadians now die each day of drug overdoses.
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15年的时候房价渥太华房价还是比较合理的，但推高房价的罪魁祸首就是土豆子趁covid大撒币，现在有价无市，地主有房子也卖不掉，呵呵。
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6 charts show Stephen Harper has the worst economic record of any Prime Minister since World War II
6 charts show Stephen Harper has the worst economic record of any Prime Minister since World War II
It turns out the emperor has no clothes after all. Although Conservatives like to drone on like robots about how Stephen Harper is a “steady hand on the wheel” of the economy, that myth is increasingly hard to square with reality. Not only does a recent poll suggest Harper’s reputation as a...
pressprogress.ca
如果下个4年让PP来，会更差。是时候找个真正懂经济的来带领一下了。
行不行得试了才知道，也该让保守党干几年了。6 charts show Stephen Harper has the worst economic record of any Prime Minister since World War II
6 charts show Stephen Harper has the worst economic record of any Prime Minister since World War II
It turns out the emperor has no clothes after all. Although Conservatives like to drone on like robots about how Stephen Harper is a “steady hand on the wheel” of the economy, that myth is increasingly hard to square with reality. Not only does a recent poll suggest Harper’s reputation as a...
如果下个4年让PP来，会更差。是时候找个真正懂经济的来带领一下了。
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土豆要滾是沒有異議的，問題是現在卡尼上來了，會不會有所改變？
以下数据揭示了过去10年加拿大变得多么糟糕：
犯罪率全面飙升
2015年凶杀案发生率为每10万人中1.71起，到2023年这一数字升至1.94起。
换句话说，如果维持2015年的凶杀案发生率，2023的凶杀案将减少94起，2022年将减少216起，2021年将减少约150起。
与此同时，几乎所有类型的犯罪都在上升。
加拿大统计局的“犯罪严重度指数”曾在2015年自由党执政前达到最低点，此后一直呈上升趋势，尤其是暴力犯罪增长明显。例如：
这意味着，在犯罪率上升的同时，监狱却在“清空”。例如BC省的奥卡纳根惩教中心在2023年仅关押了167名囚犯（800个床位），使用率仅为20%。
仅2025年1月就收到10,365份新庇护申请，相当于每小时14人，而这还被视为“低申请量月份”。要知道，这几乎相当于2015年全年积压的难民申请数量。
这意味着，加拿大的房子几乎每一天都在变得更“买不起”。
根据世界银行的数据，2015年，加拿大人均GDP为43,594加元，相当于美国人均GDP的76.4%。到2023年，加拿大人均GDP仅增长至44,469加元，而美国则继续增长，比例下滑到67.5%。
这意味着，在过去10年中，加拿大人均GDP几乎完全停滞不前。
卡尔加里大学经济学家Trevor Tombe指出，如果加拿大经济保持2015年的发展趋势，加拿大人平均每年将多赚4,200加元，这笔钱基本上可以抵消自由党过去10年发放的所有补贴和福利。
国家债务激增，每人每天多负债4.10加元
2015年国家债务约8,000亿加元（按2025币值），到2024年底已达1.4万亿。等于每人每天背上4.10加元新债务，一家五口每日负债增20.5元。
联邦公务员数量从2015年的257,034人激增到2024年的367,772人，增长约43%。
国防危机加剧
为了招人，加拿大已放宽招募标准，甚至接受患有哮喘、ADHD的申请者。
而这10年，仅新增住房230万套，多为公寓。
调查发现，年轻人想生孩子，但经济压力太大。
其背后一个关键原因是毒品过量死亡激增：
2015年：2,176人死于药物过量；
2023年：每天有21人死于药物过量。
这组数据揭示了一个残酷现实：在过去10年间，加拿大不仅错失发展机遇，更在多项关键领域出现历史性倒退。从经济活力到公共安全，从医疗质量到国防实力，这个曾经被誉为“最宜居国家”的国度，正面临前所未有的系统性危机。
以下数据揭示了过去10年加拿大变得多么糟糕：
犯罪率全面飙升
2015年，加拿大凶杀案总计604起，到了2022年增加至874起（增长45%）。即使考虑到人口增长因素，现在发生的凶杀案也比2015年要多得多。2015年凶杀案发生率为每10万人中1.71起，到2023年这一数字升至1.94起。
换句话说，如果维持2015年的凶杀案发生率，2023的凶杀案将减少94起，2022年将减少216起，2021年将减少约150起。
与此同时，几乎所有类型的犯罪都在上升。
加拿大统计局的“犯罪严重度指数”曾在2015年自由党执政前达到最低点，此后一直呈上升趋势，尤其是暴力犯罪增长明显。例如：
- 2015年，每10万加拿大人中就有28.6起与枪支相关的暴力犯罪事件；
- 到2022年（有数据可查的最后一年），这一数字猛增至每10万人中有36.7起，增长近30%。
犯罪多了，监狱却空了
加拿大惩教署（Correctional Service of Canada）每年都会公布监禁率的统计数据，从2015年开始，一个明显的趋势开始出现： 监狱人口开始急剧下降。- 联邦监狱系统的监禁率为每10万人中有53.6名囚犯降至40.1；
- 省级/地区监狱的监禁率也从85.5降至71.6，甚至曾低至61.6。
这意味着，在犯罪率上升的同时，监狱却在“清空”。例如BC省的奥卡纳根惩教中心在2023年仅关押了167名囚犯（800个床位），使用率仅为20%。
庇护申请暴涨1700%
2015年，加拿大有16,058名庇护申请者；他们是以难民身份申请入境并等待裁决的外国公民。截至2025年1月，积压的庇护申请已达272,440件，增长约1700%。仅2025年1月就收到10,365份新庇护申请，相当于每小时14人，而这还被视为“低申请量月份”。要知道，这几乎相当于2015年全年积压的难民申请数量。
房价失控性上涨：每天涨43加元
2015年，自由党曾承诺“让住房更可负担”。那时加拿大的平均房价为43万加元（按2025年币值调整约为55.7万加元）。但到了2025年2月，全国平均房价为71.37万加元，意味着每年上涨约1.6万加元，每天上涨43加元。这意味着，加拿大的房子几乎每一天都在变得更“买不起”。
医疗服务等待时间翻倍，死亡人数激增
2015年，患者在加拿大医院候诊室死亡的情况还不是经常发生。到2023年，蒙特利尔一家医院
弗雷泽研究所自上世纪90年代起就开始编制有关医疗等待时间的报告。2015年的情况不算乐观，但现在已经到了灾难性的地步。
- 2015年，手术等待时间的中位数为18.3周；到2024年延长为30周（恶化64%）。
- 2015年，安省有2,281人在等待必要手术期间死亡；到2023-2024年，这一数字飙升至15,474人（增长578%）。
如果经济保持2015年的趋势，每人每年会富裕4,200加元
在加拿大历史上的大部分时间里，加拿大工人的平均收入与美国工人的平均收入差不多。20世纪80年代，加拿大开始落后于美国，在过去10年中，这一趋势加速发展。根据世界银行的数据，2015年，加拿大人均GDP为43,594加元，相当于美国人均GDP的76.4%。到2023年，加拿大人均GDP仅增长至44,469加元，而美国则继续增长，比例下滑到67.5%。
这意味着，在过去10年中，加拿大人均GDP几乎完全停滞不前。
卡尔加里大学经济学家Trevor Tombe指出，如果加拿大经济保持2015年的发展趋势，加拿大人平均每年将多赚4,200加元，这笔钱基本上可以抵消自由党过去10年发放的所有补贴和福利。
在发达国家中，加拿大“倒数第二”
事实上，除了加拿大，所有发达国家都变得更富有了。过去10年，经合组织（OECD）中几乎所有国家都实现人均GDP增长：- 波兰增长40.1%
- 韩国增长23.8%
- 美国增长18.2%
- 加拿大仅增长1.4%（仅高于卢森堡）
国家债务激增，每人每天多负债4.10加元
2015年国家债务约8,000亿加元（按2025币值），到2024年底已达1.4万亿。等于每人每天背上4.10加元新债务，一家五口每日负债增20.5元。
联邦公务员数量从2015年的257,034人激增到2024年的367,772人，增长约43%。
国防危机加剧
2015年加拿大军队仅短缺900人；到2024年，人员缺口扩大到16,000人。许多舰艇、飞机和军车因无人维护而停用，海军舰队中仅有45.7%可正常执行任务。为了招人，加拿大已放宽招募标准，甚至接受患有哮喘、ADHD的申请者。
人口结构失衡：移民增长创百年最高纪录
2015年加拿大人口为3,580万，2025年增至4,160万——10年增长580万人，年均58万人，远超加拿大以往的移民节奏，也导致住房、医生、资源严重短缺。而这10年，仅新增住房230万套，多为公寓。
生育率跌至全球最低之一
2023年，加拿大生育率降至每名女性1.26个孩子，仅高于韩国、西班牙、意大利和日本等生育率极低的国家。2015年时这一数值为1.6。调查发现，年轻人想生孩子，但经济压力太大。
寿命下降，百年首次
2015年，加拿大全民平均寿命为81.9岁；2023年降为81.5岁。这是百年来首次出现非疫情年份寿命下降的趋势。其背后一个关键原因是毒品过量死亡激增：
2015年：2,176人死于药物过量；
2023年：每天有21人死于药物过量。
这组数据揭示了一个残酷现实：在过去10年间，加拿大不仅错失发展机遇，更在多项关键领域出现历史性倒退。从经济活力到公共安全，从医疗质量到国防实力，这个曾经被誉为“最宜居国家”的国度，正面临前所未有的系统性危机。
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