川普要拿诺贝尔和平奖了, 调停了31年战争和对抗的亚美尼亚和阿塞拜疆, 并获得Zangezur Corridor 走廊99年使用权,川普赢麻了

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把俄罗斯从高加索排挤出去,竟然出现这两个世仇的国家共同反俄。

美国还获得两国之间Zangezur Corridor 走廊使用和开发权,这样,里海周边中亚国家的石油就可以不通过俄罗斯,而通过Zangezur Corridor 走廊管道送往欧洲。可以压低油价,打击俄罗斯出口收入。

DEEPSEEK做的不错,20分钟前公布的BREAKING NEW, 都分析得很清楚

The corridor area between Azerbaijan and Armenia is called the Zangezur Corridor (also referred to as the Meghri Corridor in some contexts). It is a proposed transport route that would connect Azerbaijan’s mainland to its exclave, the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic, through Armenia’s Syunik Province 14.

Key Details of the Trump-Brokered Peace Deal (August 8, 2025)

  1. Establishment of the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" (TRIPP)
    • Armenia has agreed to grant the U.S. exclusive development rights to a strategic transit corridor, which will be named after Trump.
    • The corridor will operate under Armenian sovereignty but will be leased to a U.S.-led consortium for 99 years for infrastructure development and management 21013.
  2. Purpose of the Corridor
    • The corridor will allow unimpeded transit between Azerbaijan and Nakhchivan, bypassing Armenian checkpoints (similar to how the Lachin Corridor once functioned for Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh) 14.
    • It is expected to boost regional trade, particularly between Azerbaijan, Turkey, and Europe, while also integrating into the Middle Corridor (a key China-Europe trade route) 4.
  3. Geopolitical Implications
    • Reduces Russian influence: The deal sidelines the Minsk Group (previously co-chaired by Russia, France, and the U.S.), signaling a shift toward U.S. mediation in the South Caucasus 1013.
    • Iran opposes the corridor, fearing it will cut off its land access to Armenia and strengthen Turkic alliances (Azerbaijan-Turkey) 4.
    • Armenia secures sovereignty guarantees, ensuring the corridor remains under its legal jurisdiction despite U.S. leasing rights 13.
  4. Economic & Strategic Benefits
    • The U.S. will facilitate energy and trade flows, potentially integrating the route into the International North-South Transport Corridor (linking Russia, Iran, and India) 14.
    • Nine companies (including three U.S. firms) have already expressed interest in developing the corridor 10.
  5. Controversies & Risks
    • Azerbaijan had previously threatened military action if Armenia refused the corridor 1.
    • Some analysts see this as a pan-Turkic expansionist project, while others view it as a pragmatic economic solution 4.

Conclusion

This deal marks a historic shift in South Caucasus geopolitics, with the U.S. gaining a long-term foothold in a region traditionally dominated by Russia. The 99-year lease ensures American involvement in shaping future trade and security dynamics, while Armenia and Azerbaijan move toward normalization—though tensions may persist over implementation.

Would you like further details on any specific aspect (e.g., Iran’s reaction, the consortium’s role, or historical context)?
 
这算是川普给普京的一个大嘴巴了。

这是给下周美俄首脑会谈中,美国有先手之利了。

Zangezur Corridor 走廊本来是联系阿塞拜疆主要领土到靠近土耳其边境的飞地之间,法理上属于亚美尼亚的领土。里海中亚国家的石油和矿产,要运往欧洲,从经济上说走这个走廊最经济。但30多年两国战争,使得这走廊根本无法使用,就是在战争前线,对两国来说都是不毛战争之地。现在这协议对美国,亚美尼亚, 阿塞拜疆都是三赢,把一块战火之地变成了很多中亚里海国家经济走廊。


美国这一招多赢了
清除了俄罗斯的势力
美国自己零成本得到99年使用开发权
大幅削减了中国一带一路中经过中亚的部分影响力。
把中亚里海国家的经济和美国捆绑,美国同时通过这走廊的开发过路权控制中亚国家的出口经济命脉。
这个走廊又贴近伊朗边境,美国控制了这一地带对伊朗也是重大威胁。

客观评价川普,这是川普重大外交国际政治经贸成就,算是一箭5雕了吧。

最大的输家是俄罗斯,伊朗
中国小输,但也没办法,之前中亚的事务,俄罗斯对中国严加防范,不让中国介入。现在俄罗斯尝下苦果,不让中国进,美国和土耳其突厥的势力就进入。俄罗斯这方面很是看不清形势。
 
最后编辑:
妙不可言,妙不可言。

美俄之间还没完全分出胜负,

美俄之间
在高加索,俄罗斯输惨了
川普做的也不是所有的都很聪明,在对于印度的处理,川普输了一大局,印度第一国安顾问现在俄罗斯见普金。看印度这局怎么演变吧,如果美印之间关系还是这样紧张,如果俄罗斯能成功把印度5代机采购挤走美国F-35,把印度绑定俄罗斯,这样才能有点平衡。
 
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