胡说之
Moderator
- 注册
- 2002-01-17
- 消息
- 5,182
- 荣誉分数
- 6
- 声望点数
- 0
加拿大联邦大选在即,转一篇文章,请大家看,作为少数民族的犹太人和非洲裔是如何影响美国选举的.
The following shows how a BLOC VOTE by AsAms in Calif., who
represent only 8% of CA's voters, can tip the 55 electoral votes to
either Bush or Kerry.
Don't believe it? Read on!!
Two presidential candidates are contesting for CA, which for
simplicity is assumed to have two constituent groups only. One group
has only 1 million votes (8%) and the other has 11 million votes (92%).
Candidate A decides to spend his resources on the larger group.
Candidate B decides to spend his resources mostly courting the much
smaller minority community that has the ability to deliver 80 % of its
votes to its endorsed candidate, much like what the Jewish American
and African American communities has done for decades.
When the ballots are counted, presidential candidate A wins the
larger community by the ratio of 52/48. The margin of difference is 4%.
Since the larger group has 11 millions votes, 4% of 11 million votes
provides a winning margin of 440,000 votes to candidate A.
Presidential candidate B, having won the endorsement of the minority
community, won that community's vote by a ratio of 80 to 20. The
difference between 80% and 20% is 60%. 60% of 1 million votes is
600,000 votes. As a result, presidential candidate B wins CA's 55
electoral votes by (600,000 minus 440,000) electoral votes 160,000 votes.
Note that 55 electoral votes represent more than 20% of what a
candidate will need to be the next President of the US.
Astounding? Yes. That is why 80-20 emphasizes a BLOC
VOTE, and why 80-20 has been effective in gathering political clout on
YOUR behalf. Unity is power, please help back.
The following shows how a BLOC VOTE by AsAms in Calif., who
represent only 8% of CA's voters, can tip the 55 electoral votes to
either Bush or Kerry.
Don't believe it? Read on!!
Two presidential candidates are contesting for CA, which for
simplicity is assumed to have two constituent groups only. One group
has only 1 million votes (8%) and the other has 11 million votes (92%).
Candidate A decides to spend his resources on the larger group.
Candidate B decides to spend his resources mostly courting the much
smaller minority community that has the ability to deliver 80 % of its
votes to its endorsed candidate, much like what the Jewish American
and African American communities has done for decades.
When the ballots are counted, presidential candidate A wins the
larger community by the ratio of 52/48. The margin of difference is 4%.
Since the larger group has 11 millions votes, 4% of 11 million votes
provides a winning margin of 440,000 votes to candidate A.
Presidential candidate B, having won the endorsement of the minority
community, won that community's vote by a ratio of 80 to 20. The
difference between 80% and 20% is 60%. 60% of 1 million votes is
600,000 votes. As a result, presidential candidate B wins CA's 55
electoral votes by (600,000 minus 440,000) electoral votes 160,000 votes.
Note that 55 electoral votes represent more than 20% of what a
candidate will need to be the next President of the US.
Astounding? Yes. That is why 80-20 emphasizes a BLOC
VOTE, and why 80-20 has been effective in gathering political clout on
YOUR behalf. Unity is power, please help back.
