。。。。。。。。
- 主题发起人 *神魂颠倒*
- 开始时间
- 注册
- 2002-10-02
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It is a very interesting idea.
Let's take an example:
For the sake of simplicity, we take 穿过八度空间 (the name of poster) as A, he finds B to provide $1000. A will bet 10 times, each $100. To be fair, we suppose A will win 5 times and lose 5 times, in which we define "win" means double the money ($100 to $200), "lose" means lose all of the $100.
After A bets 10 times,
A win $100 * 5 * 30% = $150
A loses $100 * 5 * 20% = $100
So, the final net result:
A wins $50, B loses $50.
What a good deal!
Let's take an example:
For the sake of simplicity, we take 穿过八度空间 (the name of poster) as A, he finds B to provide $1000. A will bet 10 times, each $100. To be fair, we suppose A will win 5 times and lose 5 times, in which we define "win" means double the money ($100 to $200), "lose" means lose all of the $100.
After A bets 10 times,
A win $100 * 5 * 30% = $150
A loses $100 * 5 * 20% = $100
So, the final net result:
A wins $50, B loses $50.
What a good deal!
真是高明的策略
We assume 穿过八度空殓 is a skillful player and can break even in winning chance compared to Casino.
For 穿过八度空殓
Expected Gain per hand for 穿过八度空殓(assume $20 dollar one hand, 50% chance win)
= 20*(0.5*0.3-0.5*0.2) =$1
Using $400 Capital
Expected gain = 400/20 * $1 = $20
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For Partner X
Expected Gain per hand for Partner X
= 20*(0.5*0.2-0.5*0.3) = -$1
Using $400 Capital
Expected gain = 400/20 * -$1 = -$20
Based on the optimistic assumption that you've 50% chance to win. Almost no game in Casino had this edge, unless you're an expert player. So it can be inferred that in Casino you'll certainly loss more than what suggested above, given that you're facing a 7% statistical disadvantage over the dealer under normal Casino rules.[8+ decks, no surrender, declaring busting earlier than the dealer] (For reference, the a professional gambler in Casino Blackjack table, he can at most maintain on average 51% to 52% to win, [1-2% edge over Casino]given that he used the high level advanced blackjack system)
So, in this simplified model,under the assumption that 穿过八度空殓 can use his outstanding skills to overcome the Dealers' advantage, we can show that 穿过八度空殓 would have expected gain $20 and Partner X would have expected gain -$20. 想赢钱的Potential Partner X不妨考?一下
*0.3 -- Share of profit
0.2 -- Share of loss
We assume 穿过八度空殓 is a skillful player and can break even in winning chance compared to Casino.
For 穿过八度空殓
Expected Gain per hand for 穿过八度空殓(assume $20 dollar one hand, 50% chance win)
= 20*(0.5*0.3-0.5*0.2) =$1
Using $400 Capital
Expected gain = 400/20 * $1 = $20
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For Partner X
Expected Gain per hand for Partner X
= 20*(0.5*0.2-0.5*0.3) = -$1
Using $400 Capital
Expected gain = 400/20 * -$1 = -$20
Based on the optimistic assumption that you've 50% chance to win. Almost no game in Casino had this edge, unless you're an expert player. So it can be inferred that in Casino you'll certainly loss more than what suggested above, given that you're facing a 7% statistical disadvantage over the dealer under normal Casino rules.[8+ decks, no surrender, declaring busting earlier than the dealer] (For reference, the a professional gambler in Casino Blackjack table, he can at most maintain on average 51% to 52% to win, [1-2% edge over Casino]given that he used the high level advanced blackjack system)
So, in this simplified model,under the assumption that 穿过八度空殓 can use his outstanding skills to overcome the Dealers' advantage, we can show that 穿过八度空殓 would have expected gain $20 and Partner X would have expected gain -$20. 想赢钱的Potential Partner X不妨考?一下
*0.3 -- Share of profit
0.2 -- Share of loss
GraceFeehily
Life for Rent
- 注册
- 2003-11-01
- 消息
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专业人士分析
强啊
不声明变量；不用中括号{}控制变量范围；不写注释//；不按标准格式；
不画流程图；不写编译记录；不写调试记录；乱用函数；乱用语法。
行了我不多说了，看在你现在是试用期的份上，就不开除你了。
不过出了这么大的事，不处罚一下你我怎么服众啊，行了，工资扣一半。
不用那么感激的看着我，抓紧去把那个工资软件调试好，这可是我们的大客户，公司把这么重要的工程交给你调试，这是对你器重。今天晚上你就别回去了，反正也是单身一个人，今天就辛苦一下通宵做吧，不过一定要赶在明天9点之前做出来，这可是我们的大客户。对了，你一定得吃好饭，吃不好饭弄坏了身体可不得了，我办公桌底下有方便面，别客气随便吃啊。我晚上还有事和客户谈，我先走了。
不画流程图；不写编译记录；不写调试记录；乱用函数；乱用语法。
行了我不多说了，看在你现在是试用期的份上，就不开除你了。
不过出了这么大的事，不处罚一下你我怎么服众啊，行了，工资扣一半。
不用那么感激的看着我，抓紧去把那个工资软件调试好，这可是我们的大客户，公司把这么重要的工程交给你调试，这是对你器重。今天晚上你就别回去了，反正也是单身一个人，今天就辛苦一下通宵做吧，不过一定要赶在明天9点之前做出来，这可是我们的大客户。对了，你一定得吃好饭，吃不好饭弄坏了身体可不得了，我办公桌底下有方便面，别客气随便吃啊。我晚上还有事和客户谈，我先走了。
