is it too early to buy NT

个人意见仅供参考:最保险是等到7月份下旬,查账结果出来之后。如果只是些水分
(这是许多人眼下的看法),那么NT股价会上一个台阶,估计的价格是到美元7元左右。
这也不过就是NT在查账丑闻出来之前的价格。但行家们估计,如果查账没有大事,
NT到年底的价格会在15 - 20 美元之间。所以,我认为你即使等到7月份再进入,还
是有得赚的。但这样可防止你过早进入,但7月份查账却是坏消息的情况。
 
这里,有一个有趣的情况大家可以想像。假如查账没有查出问题,对NT的股票虽然有
好处,但对NT董事会的麻烦可就大了。被开除的NT前任CEO和其他与此有关的NT高官
肯定会反诉NT董事会,是人都会这么做的。所以,这种情况是NT董事会决不希望看
到的。假如查账查出问题,只要问题不会压跨NT,但足以说明有问题,那才是NT董
事会希望看到的。

所以,假如在七月底,NT说查账还没有结束,那就说明还没有找到足以说明问题的
证据,还要继续查。
 
Assuming the bottom is around $3, to avoid missing the future oppotunity, Maybe we can still buy.
 
我不太相信NT帐没有问题。假如这样肯定不会把CEO开了。那几个人也不是笨瓜,哪怕有一点可以挽回名誉,肯定在开除的同时,发表个人声明。因为,这样给开了。他们的career基本就没有了。
 
土鳖虫 真是nt专家
 
北美股市驻NT--顾问:土鳖虫 NT的资信靠你提示,支特你
 
最初由 土鳖虫 发布
这里,有一个有趣的情况大家可以想像。假如查账没有查出问题,对NT的股票虽然有
好处,但对NT董事会的麻烦可就大了。被开除的NT前任CEO和其他与此有关的NT高官
肯定会反诉NT董事会,是人都会这么做的。所以,这种情况是NT董事会决不希望看
到的。假如查账查出问题,只要问题不会压跨NT,但足以说明有问题,那才是NT董
事会希望看到的。

所以,假如在七月底,NT说查账还没有结束,那就说明还没有找到足以说明问题的
证据,还要继续查。

I do not know how you could have such idea. The
CEO was thrown out because they found there
was wrong-doing of the CEO by accounting. This
guy worked as CFO when Roth was in NT. At the
time of Roth, he did the same thing. Only was
Roth responsible for it and was fired. He became
CEO. You can say he is faking expert. I talked
with some NT engineers. They told me the whole
board of NT has problem since they know Dunn
very well and still voted him to be CEO. The
board should be changed.

NT has great product. However, its management
is really terrible. BTW, how much money has NT
already burnt?
 
最初由 nicesnow 发布


I do not know how you could have such idea. The
CEO was thrown out because they found there
was wrong-doing of the CEO by accounting. This
guy worked as CFO when Roth was in NT. At the
time of Roth, he did the same thing. Only was
Roth responsible for it and was fired. He became
CEO. You can say he is faking expert. I talked
with some NT engineers. They told me the whole
board of NT has problem since they know Dunn
very well and still voted him to be CEO. The
board should be changed.

NT has great product. However, its management
is really terrible. BTW, how much money has NT
already burnt?

It's actually not my idea but fact. Just ask yourself one question for your "idea": because they found there
was wrong-doing of the CEO by accounting.

When you say "they", who found this whole bunch of wrong-doing? by you? by Roth? by X-CEO himself? or by NT borad? if you can answer this question, then you probablly understand who the hell is going to stick his chin out by doing something he shouldn't.
 
You are talking about something "fact"
you even do not know.

Why did former finance minister join
the board? The board is trying to
improve its image and of the company.

If you say it is not wrong-doing:
"Nortel said at the time it expected to restate results to ***halve*** 2003 earnings, and any results filed after 2000 "should not be relied upon".

NT can pay hundred millions fine for this.

If Dunn did not do anything wrong, why
were he and his three guys fired? Some
people are not capable, but try to show
they are. Look around you. How many
such people there are. It is too
nice to think all managers are honest.


最初由 土鳖虫 发布


It's actually not my idea but fact. Just ask yourself one question for your "idea": because they found there
was wrong-doing of the CEO by accounting.

When you say "they", who found this whole bunch of wrong-doing? by you? by Roth? by X-CEO himself? or by NT borad? if you can answer this question, then you probablly understand who the hell is going to stick his chin out by doing something he shouldn't.
 
最初由 nicesnow 发布
You are talking about something "fact"
you even do not know.

Why did former finance minister join
the board? The board is trying to
improve its image and of the company.

If you say it is not wrong-doing:
"Nortel said at the time it expected to restate results to ***halve*** 2003 earnings, and any results filed after 2000 "should not be relied upon".

NT can pay hundred millions fine for this.

If Dunn did not do anything wrong, why
were he and his three guys fired? Some
people are not capable, but try to show
they are. Look around you. How many
such people there are. It is too
nice to think all managers are honest.



So, you cannot even answer my question about "who the hell initiated all these nightmares" at first place, but threw out a few irrelevant questions for yourself. Well, your illogical thinking does not even buy you any reasoning credit.

Now let's look at your questions:

1. Why did former finance minister join
the board?

He was actually a deputy minister, not only finance minister. He is attracted by NT's reputation, performance, and NT's bright future. Read media's report on his speech upon his joining time. Do not put your own faked guess (The board is trying to improve its image) into the face. Otherwise, why is it not a damage to Manley's image?

2. If you say it is not wrong-doing:...

Nobody saying that. But all things are waiting for restatement coming out. Otherwise, why people still waiting for that? By the face that everything was already figured out.

3. NT can pay hundred millions fine for this.

Another faked point. Who tells you about it? Yes, NT faces number of law suits. Are there any big player in the industry today does not face any law suits, name a few of them, like GM, Microsoft, IBM, etc. Why you so concern about NT? I am not even saying 1% of 3.6B cash balance will pay off all of them, but it will be evaporated in a long run.


4. If Dunn did not do anything wrong, why
were he and his three guys fired?

Are you telling me that once you are caught by a cop, then it means you are a criminal? what a crackbrained thought. Here again, people need an evidence. Just as I said on No. 2.
 
Now let's look at your questions:

1. Why did former finance minister join
the board?

He was actually a deputy minister, not only finance minister. He is attracted by NT's reputation, performance, and NT's bright future. Read media's report on his speech upon his joining time. Do not put your own faked guess (The board is trying to improve its image) into the face. Otherwise, why is it not a damage to Manley's image?

***** Can he say:"NT is now in trouble and I am coming to save it"?

2. If you say it is not wrong-doing:...

Nobody saying that. But all things are waiting for restatement coming out. Otherwise, why people still waiting for that? By the face that everything was already figured out.

*****have a detailed look at this:
http://biz.yahoo.com/rc/040525/tech_nortel_2.html
Nortel said at the time it expected to restate results to halve 2003 earnings, and any results filed after 2000 "should not be relied upon".

A U.S. grand jury earlier this month subpoenaed Nortel records as part of a criminal investigation, including financial statements and corporate, personnel and accounting records from the start of 2000 to the present.

3. NT can pay hundred millions fine for this.

Another faked point. Who tells you about it? Yes, NT faces number of law suits. Are there any big player in the industry today does not face any law suits, name a few of them, like GM, Microsoft, IBM, etc. Why you so concern about NT? I am not even saying 1% of 3.6B cash balance will pay off all of them, but it will be evaporated in a long run.

***** I do not know how much law suits will
cost. What I mentioned is Nastaq and
TSE fine. Have a look at the case of
Xerox. Same problem. The company
was investigated for two years and got
a fat fine.

For the wrongdoing of accounting,

4. If Dunn did not do anything wrong, why
were he and his three guys fired?

Are you telling me that once you are caught by a cop, then it means you are a criminal? what a crackbrained thought. Here again, people need an evidence. Just as I said on No. 2.

***** criminal investigation. From what Dunn
did, he is not far from a criminal if
you think he is not.

I perhaps have some crackbrained
thoughts. Show me yours better ones.
 
最初由 nicesnow 发布


criminal investigation. From what Dunn
did, he is not far from a criminal if
you think he is not.

I perhaps have some crackbrained
thoughts. Show me yours better ones.

Do you understand the difference between words "investigation" and "judgement". If you do, then we can continue our discussion. Otherwise, it is just waste of our time.
 
It seems that you made some nice efforts
to recommend this stock. Why do not you
tell the people here how much you made
from NT and write down your future
real-time trading of NT here? That will
make NT much more attractive. That will
be your best recommendation while NT
is so great for you. Do not show only some "facts".

最初由 土鳖虫 发布


Do you understand the difference between words "investigation" and "judgement". If you do, then we can continue our discussion. Otherwise, it is just waste of our time.
 
后退
顶部