[警告] Avoid Driving as you could

[oread]

Are they?

 

[胖蹄阿克]

long term都是vote出来的

 

[有去无回]

最初由 渐渐 发布
Are they?

I C U no trust them:smokin:

 

[shusheng]

啊，我记得预报的话，long term的总是相对准确。

 

[oread]

Long-term was never accurate. I trusted them this year for the first snow fall, it was supposed to be followed with rain and temperature rising to 5 degrees. So I left the snow on my driveway hoping for it to melt later, but guess what: it didn't happen! My driveway still looks like a 宝葫芦.

 

[胖蹄阿克]

最初由 shusheng 发布
啊，我记得预报的话，long term的总是相对准确。

时间长了,变数就多,怎么会更准呢

 

[shusheng]

最初由 胖蹄阿克 发布

时间长了,变数就多,怎么会更准呢

Long Term 多是有关“走势”。“模糊”的概率比较大，就比较“准确”。

好比如果“北方有冷空气下降”。那就是说下个星期什么时候天气会转冷。就算有变数，天气一定会转冷。从“会变冷”的角度讲，是100%准确了。

至于具体到哪一天会冷，是星期二晚上还是星期三早上，会冷到什么程度，却不是Long term可以预报了。

偶不是专家，大家继续拍砖。