Beware China
Nation's interest in oil could fuel major conflicts, author argues
By CECIL JOHNSON
SPECIAL TO THE STAR-TELEGRAM
倍可亲网站京港台时间01/17向您播报来自倍可亲网讯的消息 http://backchina.com/news/2007-01-17/113430.html
中国持续增长的能源荒苏丹政府迟迟不愿就达尔富尔种族屠杀问题作出最终决定的主要原因之一，这是美国加利福利亚州立大学商学教授彼得・纳维罗德洞察秋毫的论断。
纳维罗在他的新书《即将到来的中国战争》中，认为中国与达尔富尔人道灾难渊源极深，这是中国外交政策伪善的铁铮铮实例。《即将到来的中国战争》一书对中国雨后春笋般地经济膨胀进行了全面研究，纳维罗也先知般地描绘了中国大踏步迈向私有化和全球化的同时那些见不得光的事实。
见不得光的事实之一，便是中国为了满足自己工业和不断增长的中产阶级对能源的需求，赢得非洲和拉美的石油和其他自然资源，它在非洲和拉美所作的事情可不光彩。
中国为苏丹大量“经济援助”，其中有喷气式战斗机和飞毛腿导弹的武器；同时，中国也不忘记对非洲提供“外交援助”，其中就包括为了赢得苏丹石油储备开采权而在联合国帮助苏丹瞒天过海。
中国的罪恶黑手伸向非洲任何一个有石油、铜、钴、铬、木材和其他原材料和资源的国家。中国在非洲的所作所为与前欧洲各殖民列强国家没有任何区别。
纳维罗指出，中国提供的贷款和无偿金钱援助大多被那些腐败的非洲国家领导人给吸干了，而他们吸收这些贷款和金钱援助的方式都是借所谓“大型建设”的名来做的，这些贷款中没有被吸收的部分资金便成为改善非洲各国基础建设的资金，这些基础建设用来干什么的呢？很明显，这些就是为了方便中国将从非洲榨取的原材料顺利运送回中国而做的必要工作。
之后，中国便将带有附加值的“中国制造”卖给非洲各国，这最终导致了非洲各国的失业率高居不下和贫困人口激增。唯一从这一舒服的中非关系中获得利益的便是那些非洲领导精英们。就是因为这些，中国的非洲战略才是一个可能导致绝大多数处在领导层以外的广大非洲人民沦为被殖民国的国民和经济奴隶的危险，中非现有的外交关系是一种见不得人的帝国主义联姻，完全有悖于非洲广大人民的利益。
而中国对石油和其他原材料的大量渴求是中国可能与其它国家产生冲突的主要原因之一，这些国家包括，美国、日本以及最近兴起的越南。
至于石油，纳维罗说，中国在未来完全可能因为与美国争夺石油的贸易战而卷入一场真正的军事冲突，而中国与日本的冲突将迫使日本公开发展核武器，从而成为世界最强的核国之一。而中越之战的起因，可能就是中国启动大量对它的邻居不友好的巨大“建坝”工程开始，因为中国需要大量的水资源，而为了不让湄公河流到越南去，中国可能建造大量工程浩大的堤坝来蓄水。
然而，纳维罗在新书中并没有为解决他所描述的众多问题提供解决“良方”。不过，他将这些问题提出来，让世界加深对它们的了解，这已经是一个不小的贡献了。
纳维罗给了美国人一个中国印象，美国的决策制定者们、商界老板们、投资者们，下次与中国作交易的时候没有理由盲目了吧。（作者：Cecil Johnson）
=-===============================-===============================
Posted on Tue, Jan. 02, 2007
Beware China
Nation's interest in oil could fuel major conflicts, author argues
By CECIL JOHNSON
SPECIAL TO THE STAR-TELEGRAM
http://www.dfw.com/mld/dfw/business/local/16365895.htm?source=rss&channel=dfw_local
China's growing thirst for oil is one of the primary reasons the government of Sudan has been able to continue its support of the bloodthirsty Janjaweed militias' genocidal rampages in Darfur, according to Peter Navarro, a business professor at the University of California, Irvine.
The Chinese ties to the atrocities in Darfur is one of the blatant examples of the hypocrisy of Chinese foreign policy underscored by Navarro in his new book, The Coming China Wars.
In this comprehensive examination of China's mushrooming economy, Navarro masterfully illuminates the dark sides of China's great leaps into privatization and globalization.
One of those dark sides, Navarro says, is China's "amoral" involvement in Africa and Latin America to access oil and other natural resources to supply the needs of its industries and its growing middle class -- and to keep its millions of impoverished peasants from revolting.
With regard to Sudan, Navarro shows that China provides Sudan both extensive economic support -- weapons, including jet fighters and Scud missiles -- and diplomatic support, such as cover in the United Nations in exchange for access to Sudan's oil reserves.
"A key part of that incentives package has been China's brazen willingness to protect the Sudan from U.N. sanctions. During Sudan's campaign of genocide in its Darfur region, China repeatedly thwarted U.N. attempts to stop the ongoing rape, massacre and systematic starvation of non-Arab Sudanese at the hands of Janjaweed militia forces armed and controlled by the Sudanese government," Navarro writes.
China's tentacles reach throughout Africa to every country that has oil, copper, cobalt, chromium, timber and other raw materials, Navarro says. He illustrates how China is behaving as the former European colonial regimes did.
He points out that China provides loans and grants, mostly siphoned off by corrupt leaders, and in what he terms a policy of "mass construction," makes major infrastructure improvements for the purpose of transporting the extracted raw materials to the ports for shipment to China.
China then ships back value-added products, causing unemployment and poverty in those countries. Only the elites in those countries benefit from the cozy relationships with China. Navarro puts it this way:
"Ultimately it is because of these dynamics that China's African strategy is a threat that will colonize and economically enslave the vast majority of the continent's population that lives outside the elite circles. It is an imperialist marriage manufactured in China and made in hell."
China's grasping for oil and other raw materials is one of several reasons that China could have major confrontations with other countries, such as the United States, Japan and Vietnam.
With regard to oil, Navarro presents scenarios in which the United States and China could become entangled in a trade war that might evolve into a military conflict. A similar scenario might spark a conflict with Japan that could lead to Japan openly emerging as a nuclear-armed power.
A war between China and Vietnam, he points out, could result from China' enormous, neighbor-unfriendly dam-building program that is diminishing the flow of the Mekong River into Vietnam.
Among the other potential triggers cited by Navarro that could contribute to conflict between China and other countries or to internal upheaval in China are:
The standoff with Taiwan.
Japan's growing distrust of China.
China's ties to North Korea that could force it to make a difficult choice of sides if North Korea does something crazy.
China's growing investment and influence in Brazil, Cuba, Panama and Venezuela.
China's use of its U.N. influence on behalf of Iran, coupled with possibility of a pre-emptive strike by Israel against Iran's nuclear facilities.
The renewal of strong economic and military ties between China and Russia.
Additionally, Navarro offers lengthy discussions of the global effects of air, river and ocean pollution emanating from China's industries.
Navarro does not deliver much in the area of prescriptions for avoiding the ongoing or impending conflicts he describes in this book. But in raising public consciousness about them, he has done a considerable public service.
With Navarro's China caveats in mind, U.S. policymakers, businesses and investors have no excuse for being asleep at the wheel in their dealings with the great panda.
The Coming China Wars: Where They Will Be Fought and How They Can Be Won
By Peter Navarro
Financial Times Prentice Hall
$24.99
288 pages
Cecil Johnson is a Fort Worth-based freelance writer.
Nation's interest in oil could fuel major conflicts, author argues
By CECIL JOHNSON
SPECIAL TO THE STAR-TELEGRAM
倍可亲网站京港台时间01/17向您播报来自倍可亲网讯的消息 http://backchina.com/news/2007-01-17/113430.html
中国持续增长的能源荒苏丹政府迟迟不愿就达尔富尔种族屠杀问题作出最终决定的主要原因之一，这是美国加利福利亚州立大学商学教授彼得・纳维罗德洞察秋毫的论断。
纳维罗在他的新书《即将到来的中国战争》中，认为中国与达尔富尔人道灾难渊源极深，这是中国外交政策伪善的铁铮铮实例。《即将到来的中国战争》一书对中国雨后春笋般地经济膨胀进行了全面研究，纳维罗也先知般地描绘了中国大踏步迈向私有化和全球化的同时那些见不得光的事实。
见不得光的事实之一，便是中国为了满足自己工业和不断增长的中产阶级对能源的需求，赢得非洲和拉美的石油和其他自然资源，它在非洲和拉美所作的事情可不光彩。
中国为苏丹大量“经济援助”，其中有喷气式战斗机和飞毛腿导弹的武器；同时，中国也不忘记对非洲提供“外交援助”，其中就包括为了赢得苏丹石油储备开采权而在联合国帮助苏丹瞒天过海。
中国的罪恶黑手伸向非洲任何一个有石油、铜、钴、铬、木材和其他原材料和资源的国家。中国在非洲的所作所为与前欧洲各殖民列强国家没有任何区别。
纳维罗指出，中国提供的贷款和无偿金钱援助大多被那些腐败的非洲国家领导人给吸干了，而他们吸收这些贷款和金钱援助的方式都是借所谓“大型建设”的名来做的，这些贷款中没有被吸收的部分资金便成为改善非洲各国基础建设的资金，这些基础建设用来干什么的呢？很明显，这些就是为了方便中国将从非洲榨取的原材料顺利运送回中国而做的必要工作。
之后，中国便将带有附加值的“中国制造”卖给非洲各国，这最终导致了非洲各国的失业率高居不下和贫困人口激增。唯一从这一舒服的中非关系中获得利益的便是那些非洲领导精英们。就是因为这些，中国的非洲战略才是一个可能导致绝大多数处在领导层以外的广大非洲人民沦为被殖民国的国民和经济奴隶的危险，中非现有的外交关系是一种见不得人的帝国主义联姻，完全有悖于非洲广大人民的利益。
而中国对石油和其他原材料的大量渴求是中国可能与其它国家产生冲突的主要原因之一，这些国家包括，美国、日本以及最近兴起的越南。
至于石油，纳维罗说，中国在未来完全可能因为与美国争夺石油的贸易战而卷入一场真正的军事冲突，而中国与日本的冲突将迫使日本公开发展核武器，从而成为世界最强的核国之一。而中越之战的起因，可能就是中国启动大量对它的邻居不友好的巨大“建坝”工程开始，因为中国需要大量的水资源，而为了不让湄公河流到越南去，中国可能建造大量工程浩大的堤坝来蓄水。
然而，纳维罗在新书中并没有为解决他所描述的众多问题提供解决“良方”。不过，他将这些问题提出来，让世界加深对它们的了解，这已经是一个不小的贡献了。
纳维罗给了美国人一个中国印象，美国的决策制定者们、商界老板们、投资者们，下次与中国作交易的时候没有理由盲目了吧。（作者：Cecil Johnson）
=-===============================-===============================
Posted on Tue, Jan. 02, 2007
Beware China
Nation's interest in oil could fuel major conflicts, author argues
By CECIL JOHNSON
SPECIAL TO THE STAR-TELEGRAM
http://www.dfw.com/mld/dfw/business/local/16365895.htm?source=rss&channel=dfw_local
China's growing thirst for oil is one of the primary reasons the government of Sudan has been able to continue its support of the bloodthirsty Janjaweed militias' genocidal rampages in Darfur, according to Peter Navarro, a business professor at the University of California, Irvine.
The Chinese ties to the atrocities in Darfur is one of the blatant examples of the hypocrisy of Chinese foreign policy underscored by Navarro in his new book, The Coming China Wars.
In this comprehensive examination of China's mushrooming economy, Navarro masterfully illuminates the dark sides of China's great leaps into privatization and globalization.
One of those dark sides, Navarro says, is China's "amoral" involvement in Africa and Latin America to access oil and other natural resources to supply the needs of its industries and its growing middle class -- and to keep its millions of impoverished peasants from revolting.
With regard to Sudan, Navarro shows that China provides Sudan both extensive economic support -- weapons, including jet fighters and Scud missiles -- and diplomatic support, such as cover in the United Nations in exchange for access to Sudan's oil reserves.
"A key part of that incentives package has been China's brazen willingness to protect the Sudan from U.N. sanctions. During Sudan's campaign of genocide in its Darfur region, China repeatedly thwarted U.N. attempts to stop the ongoing rape, massacre and systematic starvation of non-Arab Sudanese at the hands of Janjaweed militia forces armed and controlled by the Sudanese government," Navarro writes.
China's tentacles reach throughout Africa to every country that has oil, copper, cobalt, chromium, timber and other raw materials, Navarro says. He illustrates how China is behaving as the former European colonial regimes did.
He points out that China provides loans and grants, mostly siphoned off by corrupt leaders, and in what he terms a policy of "mass construction," makes major infrastructure improvements for the purpose of transporting the extracted raw materials to the ports for shipment to China.
China then ships back value-added products, causing unemployment and poverty in those countries. Only the elites in those countries benefit from the cozy relationships with China. Navarro puts it this way:
"Ultimately it is because of these dynamics that China's African strategy is a threat that will colonize and economically enslave the vast majority of the continent's population that lives outside the elite circles. It is an imperialist marriage manufactured in China and made in hell."
China's grasping for oil and other raw materials is one of several reasons that China could have major confrontations with other countries, such as the United States, Japan and Vietnam.
With regard to oil, Navarro presents scenarios in which the United States and China could become entangled in a trade war that might evolve into a military conflict. A similar scenario might spark a conflict with Japan that could lead to Japan openly emerging as a nuclear-armed power.
A war between China and Vietnam, he points out, could result from China' enormous, neighbor-unfriendly dam-building program that is diminishing the flow of the Mekong River into Vietnam.
Among the other potential triggers cited by Navarro that could contribute to conflict between China and other countries or to internal upheaval in China are:
The standoff with Taiwan.
Japan's growing distrust of China.
China's ties to North Korea that could force it to make a difficult choice of sides if North Korea does something crazy.
China's growing investment and influence in Brazil, Cuba, Panama and Venezuela.
China's use of its U.N. influence on behalf of Iran, coupled with possibility of a pre-emptive strike by Israel against Iran's nuclear facilities.
The renewal of strong economic and military ties between China and Russia.
Additionally, Navarro offers lengthy discussions of the global effects of air, river and ocean pollution emanating from China's industries.
Navarro does not deliver much in the area of prescriptions for avoiding the ongoing or impending conflicts he describes in this book. But in raising public consciousness about them, he has done a considerable public service.
With Navarro's China caveats in mind, U.S. policymakers, businesses and investors have no excuse for being asleep at the wheel in their dealings with the great panda.
The Coming China Wars: Where They Will Be Fought and How They Can Be Won
By Peter Navarro
Financial Times Prentice Hall
$24.99
288 pages
Cecil Johnson is a Fort Worth-based freelance writer.
