急问：direct energy 5 年的gas plan

[weed]

请问大家direct energy 5 年的gas plan好不好？看上去这个plan挺好的，但是以前好像看到过类似的贴子说好像不太好，但是帖子找不到了，麻烦大家再帮忙说说。多谢了先。

 

[marklin]

I don't think now is a good time to lock in the rate as it seems to be on the decline after overshooting the prices for the past 2 years. It used to be a smart choice to lock in the rate (back in 2000 when rate was at $0.17, it doubled within 5 years). Because of the housing boom and global energy crisis, the suppliers raised the energy rates annually over the past years, but since Enbridge started readjusting the rates for summer and winter periods, it is not hard to see that it's not justifiable to commit to a 5 year plan for the time being.

My advice is to sit and watch.. the trend changes all the time. Good luck.

 

[darkforce]

how about hydro? the government sent out a letter stating that after nov. 1 2007 we'll be paying the market price, which is really high. is it a good time to lock the hydro price then?

 

[PrideOfChinese]

你认为你能赌得过那班整天挖空心思掏你钱包的公司吗？他们有时间，有信息，有技巧。想想看，现在＄0.30，如lock在$0.45，假如平均50%的时间低于$0.45，那么将来要有平均50%的时间高于$0.45，最高达到$0.60，你也就是得到一个持平的结果。庆幸7年前我拒绝了他们(lock at $0.35 when it was $0.24)，现在市场价不过＄0.30。