九月30日盘后，十月02日瞎猜计划
- 主题发起人 nepean_01
- 开始时间
WEEKLY MACDs REMAIN QUITE BEARISH
Tom Bowley
The weekly moving average convergence divergence (MACD) has always been a favorite indicator of mine. It provides a "big picture" outlook of the market and helps me take a step back from the day to day swings of the market. With the Volatility Index (VIX) in the stratosphere and closing close to 43 on Friday, the whipsaw action is quite unnerving. Taking a step back and looking at the big picture helps to ease some of that daily stress and makes it easier to focus on an appropriate trading strategy. I realize the MACD is only one indicator, and it won't always be right, but it does increase the odds of a particular move and helps me determine when it makes sense to take on more risk.
Below is a chart of the S&P 500 on a weekly basis for the past 5 years:
Tom Bowley
The weekly moving average convergence divergence (MACD) has always been a favorite indicator of mine. It provides a "big picture" outlook of the market and helps me take a step back from the day to day swings of the market. With the Volatility Index (VIX) in the stratosphere and closing close to 43 on Friday, the whipsaw action is quite unnerving. Taking a step back and looking at the big picture helps to ease some of that daily stress and makes it easier to focus on an appropriate trading strategy. I realize the MACD is only one indicator, and it won't always be right, but it does increase the odds of a particular move and helps me determine when it makes sense to take on more risk.
Below is a chart of the S&P 500 on a weekly basis for the past 5 years:
附件
LZ在前帖中提到的S&P 的1120，1101，1050－1010应该保持高度关注。另外，将我周末找到的信息也转载和大家分享一下：
“we are now seeing a roll-over in the 20-day combined buy-to-open put/call ratio on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund (IWM) and PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQ), after a period in which this ratio turned higher. When the ratio is advancing, it is usually evidence that hedge fund managers are buying stocks, as they simultaneously purchase these puts to hedge the long equity positions they're accumulating.
Another hedging tool for those accumulating equities are call options on the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX - 42.96), as the VIX will usually advance sharply in the event of a correction. Thus, the profit from the call options could cushion equity losses. But, during the past 20 days, VIX puts have been in heavier demand than VIX calls. During the past several weeks, the VIX's buy-to-open call/put ratio has fallen below 1.0, due to a surge in put buying and a significant decrease in call buying. This could be a signal that the hedge fund world is positioning for a weaker market ahead, and using VIX puts to hedge growing short positions. The market has tended to struggle as this group turns negative, which they appear to be at the moment.
The only piece of good news is that the VIX's call/put ratio is approaching extreme lows. A turn higher in the ratio from these levels has been associated with major advances in the equity market on previous occasions. For now, though, bulls should be on guard, as this ratio continues to decline alongside a bearish roll-over in the 20-day combined SPY/QQQ/IWM put/call ratio。”
“we are now seeing a roll-over in the 20-day combined buy-to-open put/call ratio on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund (IWM) and PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQ), after a period in which this ratio turned higher. When the ratio is advancing, it is usually evidence that hedge fund managers are buying stocks, as they simultaneously purchase these puts to hedge the long equity positions they're accumulating.
Another hedging tool for those accumulating equities are call options on the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX - 42.96), as the VIX will usually advance sharply in the event of a correction. Thus, the profit from the call options could cushion equity losses. But, during the past 20 days, VIX puts have been in heavier demand than VIX calls. During the past several weeks, the VIX's buy-to-open call/put ratio has fallen below 1.0, due to a surge in put buying and a significant decrease in call buying. This could be a signal that the hedge fund world is positioning for a weaker market ahead, and using VIX puts to hedge growing short positions. The market has tended to struggle as this group turns negative, which they appear to be at the moment.
The only piece of good news is that the VIX's call/put ratio is approaching extreme lows. A turn higher in the ratio from these levels has been associated with major advances in the equity market on previous occasions. For now, though, bulls should be on guard, as this ratio continues to decline alongside a bearish roll-over in the 20-day combined SPY/QQQ/IWM put/call ratio。”
大盘大幅低开成定局!!!!!! 低开两百点都是等得起多头了。
Asian markets sharply down on recession fears
大盘大幅低开成定局!!!!!! 低开两百点都是等得起多头了。
Asian markets tumbled sharply in early trading Monday, hurt by data suggesting debt-strapped Greece's attempts at austerity were not yielding results and a weakening economic picture in Europe.
Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 2.3 percent to 8,503.88, with a government survey showing an improvement in business confidence among Japanese manufacturers doing little to nudge markets back to life. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index fell 4.1 percent to 16,866.76. Australia's S&P ASX 200 fell 2.2 percent to 3,921.90.
Markets in mainland China and South Korea were closed for national holidays.
A deeper-than-expected recession prevented Greece from meeting this year's deficit target of 7.8 percent, the government said over the weekend.
Greece's deficit for 2011-2012 is expected to reach 8.5 percent of gross domestic product, or euro18.69 billion ($25.2 billion).
Meanwhile, inflation jumped to a startling 3 percent in September in the 17 countries that use the euro. The increase was a surprise that makes it less likely the European Central Bank will cut interest rates this week to head off a possible recession.
The rate reported Friday from the European Union's statistics agency was the highest since October 2008 and represented a big increase from August's 2.5 percent.
The ECB, the chief monetary authority for the euro countries, has come under pressure to cut interest rates soon to ward off mounting signs of recession in the eurozone economy.
Benchmark oil for November delivery fell 69 cents to $78.51 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The contract closed down $2.94, or 3.6 percent, to end the day at $79.20 per barrel in New York. Prices haven't finished that low since Sept. 29, 2010. Crude peaked near $114 a barrel in May of this year but has since fallen 31 percent — as worries grow about the global economy.
In currencies, the euro fell to $1.3336 from $1.3424 late Friday in New York. The dollar slipped to 76.97 from 77.08 yen.
Asian markets sharply down on recession fears
大盘大幅低开成定局!!!!!! 低开两百点都是等得起多头了。
Asian markets tumbled sharply in early trading Monday, hurt by data suggesting debt-strapped Greece's attempts at austerity were not yielding results and a weakening economic picture in Europe.
Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 2.3 percent to 8,503.88, with a government survey showing an improvement in business confidence among Japanese manufacturers doing little to nudge markets back to life. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index fell 4.1 percent to 16,866.76. Australia's S&P ASX 200 fell 2.2 percent to 3,921.90.
Markets in mainland China and South Korea were closed for national holidays.
A deeper-than-expected recession prevented Greece from meeting this year's deficit target of 7.8 percent, the government said over the weekend.
Greece's deficit for 2011-2012 is expected to reach 8.5 percent of gross domestic product, or euro18.69 billion ($25.2 billion).
Meanwhile, inflation jumped to a startling 3 percent in September in the 17 countries that use the euro. The increase was a surprise that makes it less likely the European Central Bank will cut interest rates this week to head off a possible recession.
The rate reported Friday from the European Union's statistics agency was the highest since October 2008 and represented a big increase from August's 2.5 percent.
The ECB, the chief monetary authority for the euro countries, has come under pressure to cut interest rates soon to ward off mounting signs of recession in the eurozone economy.
Benchmark oil for November delivery fell 69 cents to $78.51 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The contract closed down $2.94, or 3.6 percent, to end the day at $79.20 per barrel in New York. Prices haven't finished that low since Sept. 29, 2010. Crude peaked near $114 a barrel in May of this year but has since fallen 31 percent — as worries grow about the global economy.
In currencies, the euro fell to $1.3336 from $1.3424 late Friday in New York. The dollar slipped to 76.97 from 77.08 yen.
!!!!!!!!!!又是个乱窜行情
[sun 10/3/2011 10:14:15 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
高盛買入
[10/3/2011 10:13:42 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
高盛買入
[10/3/2011 10:11:10 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
機構紛紛買入，花旗買入
[10/3/2011 10:04:00 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
機構賣出
[10/3/2011 9:55:20 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
MS,美林買入
[10/3/2011 9:40:28 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
高盛買入
[10/3/2011 9:38:28 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
機構賣出
[10/3/2011 9:30:03 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
花旗買入，高盛賣出
[sun 10/3/2011 10:14:15 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
高盛買入
[10/3/2011 10:13:42 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
高盛買入
[10/3/2011 10:11:10 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
機構紛紛買入，花旗買入
[10/3/2011 10:04:00 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
機構賣出
[10/3/2011 9:55:20 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
MS,美林買入
[10/3/2011 9:40:28 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
高盛買入
[10/3/2011 9:38:28 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
機構賣出
[10/3/2011 9:30:03 AM EST] 股票當日交易提醒: MM
花旗買入，高盛賣出
