十月五日盘后,十月六日瞎猜计划

nepean_01

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十月五日盘后
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週三美國股市收盤連續第二個交易日上漲。在好於預期的經濟數據發佈后股市承接昨日尾盤淩厲漲勢繼續走高,尾盤再次收于日內高點。截至收盤,道瓊斯指數上漲131點(+1.21%),收於10940點, 標準普爾指數上漲20點(+1.79%),收於1144點,納斯達克指上漲56點(+2.32%),收於2461點。美元指數下跌0.67(-0.84%)報79.44,原油期貨上漲4.01美元(+5.3%)報收于79.68美元,黃金期貨上漲25.60美元(+1.6%)報收于1641.60美元。

經濟數據方面: 9月ISM非制造業指數53.0,預期為52.8,前值為53.3。 上周MBA抵押貸款申請指數周比-4.3%,前值為+9.3%。 9月ADP就業+91K,預期為+45K。

公司新聞:
路透社援引有關消息稱,微軟(MSFT)正考慮競購雅虎(YHOO),而且也許會尋求一位夥伴共同參與競購。該報道還列舉了Hellman & Friedman, 銀湖投資, 阿裏巴巴,以及DST Global作為微軟可能的合作夥伴。該報道一經發布,雅虎股價大幅走高。

大盤近期走勢分析:
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標普指數反彈行情繼續。支撐1101,阻力在1157。

標普日綫圖:见图
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十月六日瞎猜计划
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US Stocks continued moving up Wednesday following a
positive economic report showing an increase of 91K
jobs in the US which was higher than expected. After a
brief pullback in the indexes stocks remained strong
throughout today's session.
We are looking for another 1-2 days of rising stock
prices and then likely we'll see more selling. Use the
next 1-2 days to sell your long positions and expect the
pattern to continue of 2-4 day holding time for swing
trades both long and short. Start watching for short
ideas that may last for another 2-4 days and likely to
make more profit percentage than the longs did.
I'm not convinced the selling is over yet and we need
climactic increase of trading volume along with
accelerating drop in price to establish a credible bottom.

Summary Opinion
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We are looking for another 1-2 days of rising stock prices and
then likely we'll see more selling. Use the next 1-2 days to sell
your long positions and expect the pattern to continue of 2-4 day
holding time for swing trades both long and short. Start watching
for short ideas that may last for another 2-4 days and likely to
make more profit percentage than the longs did. I'm not
convinced the selling is over yet and we need climactic increase
of trading volume along with accelerating drop in price to
establish a credible bottom.

个人小感:
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大盘应该接近压力了,NASDAQ 会低开一些,AAPL可能会低开2%以上,RIMM可能高开
5%以上。QQQ也在慢慢接近压力了。总体上应该减少多头,适当开始观察接近压力位
个股如何走软。应该可适当小仓做空(先很小仓位开始!)
 

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SPY lower highs?

Markets were able to build on yesterday afternoon's rally. Buyers were quick to step in today to support any dip in the SPY, which closed the day up 1.85%. The easy day and a half move has happened, so it's time to take a step back to see what the next move will be. Recently, buying extreme weakness has been a profitable strategy (although not the favorite strategy) and buying on strength has been the frustrating trade that hasn't been working. Will that change? If we maintain the pattern of lower highs in the outlined range below, it will give the bears conviction to continue shorting strength. Continue to monitor the action going forward, and we should see a better macro picture to trade around. The jobs number is this Friday (10/7) which could help determine a short-term direction.
 

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QQQ'easy move has happened--tough trade ahead!!!!!

The Nasdaq was the strongest index for a 2nd day in a row, and has rebounded well. The QQQ's never broke the lows from August, where as the SPY and the DIA did. Today the QQQ's had continuation through yesterday's high and closed the day up 2.57%. It has room to bounce more, but for now the easy move has happened.
 

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AMZN Resistance is $225

Technology has been a pocket of strength in this market. When the S&P made new yearly lows, these stocks were able to hold higher on the charts.


AMZN, one of the high beta tech leaders, took a hit with the S&P, but was able to hold higher from its August low of $117.10. AMZN held above support of the 200-day moving average and extended on yesterday's reversal. This stock may need some sideways action to absorb the strong 2-day travel range, but that doesn't have to happen. There is a small pivot in AMZN, look for a move above $220.50. Resistance is $225.
 

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SNDK遭遇阻力

SNDK should be on trader's radars. This stock had a strong move off of lows in early September and has been able to hold the top half of the range, showing commitment to the upside. This stock continues to find resistance at the macro downtrend line. Can this trend change? It would be nice to see some sideways action to give more conviction to a powerful move through the downtrend line, but it may not happen that way. The Buy point on SNDK is $43/$43.50.
 

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KLAC遭遇阻力

KLAC is a semiconductor stock. Look to see if new technology leadership develops with the semiconductors. KLAC is coming into resistance of a macro downtrend line. Can this stock change composure and trade through this resistance? If the market sustains its recent strength, look for a move above today's high of $40.25. KLAC did not make a lower low like the SMH's, showing strength within this sector.
 

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Why not play with FAZ ? Its volatility is huge on daily basis ....

:gun::gun::gun::gun::gun:
 
Thanks for your hard work.
I was in some FFIV call at the open , just for day-trade . If SPX reachs 1160 then i am out of my long and start looking for short position.
 
Thanks for your hard work.
I was in some FFIV call at the open , just for day-trade . If SPX reachs 1160 then i am out of my long and start looking for short position.


Be careful , if you want to short index because financial stocks did not catch up this run ...

Maybe some individule stocks has opportunity to short , but not much junice .

Check the second line stocks , now start up to run.
 
Be careful , if you want to short index because financial stocks did not catch up this run ...

Maybe some individule stocks has opportunity to short , but not much junice .

Check the second line stocks , now start up to run.
Thanks for your reminding. I am starting unload all my longs at 1158 and step back .
May try short call spread for small position in the afternoon.
 
Thanks for your reminding. I am starting unload all my longs at 1158 and step back .
May try short call spread for small position in the afternoon.



GS this Friday 95C , easy to 3X... :D:D:D
 
Thanks for your reminding. I am starting unload all my longs at 1158 and step back .
May try short call spread for small position in the afternoon.

Could you please let us know how you calculated and got 1158 or 1160?

Thanks
 
Please do not post any weekly CALL or PUT trades here. You might be mislead someone with less experience here. 这是倾家荡产心惊肉跳的玩票啊。

请不要再贴这样的交易好吗? 我的初衷就是跟大家一起研究大势和强势个股的进出。
看看我的CF和POT买在地板价,从当天到今天收盘CF涨了$30多了。

我知道你们都是高手,我自己今天也有小做一单明天到期的,但贴出来就是害人了。


你们都玩OPTION,你们应该能理解对大势的看法何等重要,可以不做但不容小错啊。
方向错了,就什么都鸡飞蛋打了。

对大势力,我觉得还是要小心。不能在现在价位建新的多头仓位。明天还会冲一下,
但风险已经很大了。
 
我今天都所有仓位都卖出(多仓,空头都出了)。心情较好。
 
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