俄罗斯2022年能源收入有望突破3200亿美元，较去年增加1/3
俄罗斯2022年能源收入有望突破3200亿美元，较去年增加1/3_供应品_禁运_价格
据估计，3210亿美元的能源出口将比2021年增加三分之一以上。 俄罗斯的许多能源客户正在寻求从其他地区购买供应品，而不是签署新合同。 据IFF称，欧盟、英国和美国的能源禁运将促使产量萎缩超过20…
快断气了 - 俄罗斯要对欧洲下手了
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billwanhua
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别看新闻节目乱扯，来看看代表美国外交战略政策的外交期刊最近发表的文章：
www.foreignaffairs.com
Instead, policymakers in Washington must wrestle with two distinct kinds of goals. In the near term, U.S. priorities remain denying Putin a battlefield victory, avoiding the escalation of the conflict, and limiting its humanitarian and economic costs. Over the long term, the United States wants to shape Russian behavior in such a way that minimizes risks to U.S. geopolitical interests and international stability and reduces the potential for future regional conflict.
The main challenge today is that Ukraine’s brave resistance—even combined with ever-greater Western pressure on Moscow—is highly unlikely to overcome Russia’s military advantages, let alone topple Putin. Without some kind of deal with the Kremlin, the best outcome is probably a long, arduous war that Russia is likely to win anyway. And such a protracted conflict would cement the current extreme level of hostility between Russia and the West, undermining long-term U.S. interests in regional and global stability.
It will be extremely hard, if not impossible, for the United States to achieve either its short- or long-term objectives if the war drags on for months longer. However distasteful it may be to reach a compromise with Putin after the carnage he has unleashed, the United States should work to secure a negotiated settlement to the conflict sooner rather than later.
But Russia’s initial struggles do not mean that it will lose this war. Putin seems to have shifted from seeking regime change to a strategy of imposing costs; by inflicting ever-greater pain and suffering on Ukraine, he seeks to force Zelensky to accept his terms for peace, including the recognition of Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk and Luhansk regions as independent states. Russia can still snatch victory—defined this way, at least—from the jaws of defeat over the coming weeks and months. It would doubtless be a brutal, bloody, and ultimately Pyrrhic victory, but the Russian military, even after suffering the losses it has suffered, still has the capacity to achieve it.
The Perilous Long Game in Ukraine
Compromising with Putin may be America's best option.
Instead, policymakers in Washington must wrestle with two distinct kinds of goals. In the near term, U.S. priorities remain denying Putin a battlefield victory, avoiding the escalation of the conflict, and limiting its humanitarian and economic costs. Over the long term, the United States wants to shape Russian behavior in such a way that minimizes risks to U.S. geopolitical interests and international stability and reduces the potential for future regional conflict.
The main challenge today is that Ukraine’s brave resistance—even combined with ever-greater Western pressure on Moscow—is highly unlikely to overcome Russia’s military advantages, let alone topple Putin. Without some kind of deal with the Kremlin, the best outcome is probably a long, arduous war that Russia is likely to win anyway. And such a protracted conflict would cement the current extreme level of hostility between Russia and the West, undermining long-term U.S. interests in regional and global stability.
It will be extremely hard, if not impossible, for the United States to achieve either its short- or long-term objectives if the war drags on for months longer. However distasteful it may be to reach a compromise with Putin after the carnage he has unleashed, the United States should work to secure a negotiated settlement to the conflict sooner rather than later.
But Russia’s initial struggles do not mean that it will lose this war. Putin seems to have shifted from seeking regime change to a strategy of imposing costs; by inflicting ever-greater pain and suffering on Ukraine, he seeks to force Zelensky to accept his terms for peace, including the recognition of Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk and Luhansk regions as independent states. Russia can still snatch victory—defined this way, at least—from the jaws of defeat over the coming weeks and months. It would doubtless be a brutal, bloody, and ultimately Pyrrhic victory, but the Russian military, even after suffering the losses it has suffered, still has the capacity to achieve it.
sdzhangtao
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写的很好，希望所有的人都能冷静下来。这是美国厉害的地方，各种各样的声音都有，可以批评政府的政策而不用担心受惩罚。就怕双方都只有一个声音，把对方描述成恶魔，自己是正义的一方，战争可以取得胜利。拿这样仗就停不下来。别看新闻节目乱扯，来看看代表美国外交战略政策的外交期刊最近发表的文章：
The Perilous Long Game in Ukraine
Compromising with Putin may be America's best option.
Instead, policymakers in Washington must wrestle with two distinct kinds of goals. In the near term, U.S. priorities remain denying Putin a battlefield victory, avoiding the escalation of the conflict, and limiting its humanitarian and economic costs. Over the long term, the United States wants to shape Russian behavior in such a way that minimizes risks to U.S. geopolitical interests and international stability and reduces the potential for future regional conflict.
The main challenge today is that Ukraine’s brave resistance—even combined with ever-greater Western pressure on Moscow—is highly unlikely to overcome Russia’s military advantages, let alone topple Putin. Without some kind of deal with the Kremlin, the best outcome is probably a long, arduous war that Russia is likely to win anyway. And such a protracted conflict would cement the current extreme level of hostility between Russia and the West, undermining long-term U.S. interests in regional and global stability.
It will be extremely hard, if not impossible, for the United States to achieve either its short- or long-term objectives if the war drags on for months longer. However distasteful it may be to reach a compromise with Putin after the carnage he has unleashed, the United States should work to secure a negotiated settlement to the conflict sooner rather than later.
But Russia’s initial struggles do not mean that it will lose this war. Putin seems to have shifted from seeking regime change to a strategy of imposing costs; by inflicting ever-greater pain and suffering on Ukraine, he seeks to force Zelensky to accept his terms for peace, including the recognition of Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk and Luhansk regions as independent states. Russia can still snatch victory—defined this way, at least—from the jaws of defeat over the coming weeks and months. It would doubtless be a brutal, bloody, and ultimately Pyrrhic victory, but the Russian military, even after suffering the losses it has suffered, still has the capacity to achieve it.
Putin显然也害怕战争无限的持续下去。
根据最新的俄罗斯和乌克兰的报道，谈判取得了重大进展，除了克里米亚。
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谁放弃了乌东？普大爷还是司机？
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俄罗斯2022年能源收入有望突破3200亿美元，较去年增加1/3
俄罗斯2022年能源收入有望突破3200亿美元，较去年增加1/3_供应品_禁运_价格
据估计，3210亿美元的能源出口将比2021年增加三分之一以上。 俄罗斯的许多能源客户正在寻求从其他地区购买供应品，而不是签署新合同。 据IFF称，欧盟、英国和美国的能源禁运将促使产量萎缩超过20…www.sohu.com
这点钱只能打16天仗。
这是美军价格，一个杯子1200美元
美国空军买这么个咖啡杯：单价1280美元-观察者网
美国《空军时报》22日报道，空军部长威尔逊回信，向参议员解释“3年买300多咖啡杯，每个1千2百美元”的情况。称是与飞机系统适配和承包商抬价的原因。承诺将用3-D打印技术，每个50美分就能解决。
m.guancha.cn
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奥地利说可以接受所有对俄制裁措施，进口天然气除外。
9 min ago
Austria’s finance minister told CNN that his country supports all sanctions on Russia except a gas embargo.
There was not much sense in a sanction that harmed Austria’s economy more than Russia’s, he stressed.
More context: The European Union imported nearly 100 billion euros ($110 billion) worth of Russian energy last year. Russia supplies about 40% of the bloc's imports of natural gas, and about 27% and 46% of its imported oil and coal respectively.
In March, EU leaders pledged to reduce consumption of Russian gas by 66% before the end of this year, and to break the bloc's dependence on Russian energy by 2027.
Russian oil has already been banned by the United States and United Kingdom.
CNN's Anna Cooban contributed reporting to this post.
9 min ago
"All other sanctions" on Russia are acceptable for Austria but "not the gas embargo," finance minister says
From CNN’s Livvy Doherty in LondonAustria’s finance minister told CNN that his country supports all sanctions on Russia except a gas embargo.
There was not much sense in a sanction that harmed Austria’s economy more than Russia’s, he stressed.
More context: The European Union imported nearly 100 billion euros ($110 billion) worth of Russian energy last year. Russia supplies about 40% of the bloc's imports of natural gas, and about 27% and 46% of its imported oil and coal respectively.
In March, EU leaders pledged to reduce consumption of Russian gas by 66% before the end of this year, and to break the bloc's dependence on Russian energy by 2027.
Russian oil has already been banned by the United States and United Kingdom.
CNN's Anna Cooban contributed reporting to this post.
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欧盟说可能可以用卢布购买俄国天然气而不违背制裁条款。
16 min ago
European companies may be able to purchase Russian gas in rubles without violating the European Union's sanctions against Moscow, according to new advice issued by the European Commission on Friday.
The advice issued states how a process involving the Russian Central Bank would be a breach of sanctions and how continued payment in Euros/Dollars would be possible.
In a document issued to the member states and published online Thursday, the Commission states it "appears possible" that Moscow's decree demanding energy payments be made in Russian currency "does not preclude a payment process which is in line with the EU restrictive measures."
However, the commission notes the procedure is not yet clear.
A Russian decree issued in late March demands companies hold accounts in Russia's state-owned Gazprombank, which would convert payments for gas into rubles, in order to fulfill contracts, instead of trading directly with state gas giant Gazprom. The decree only applies to existing contracts.
However, the Russian Central Bank, which is sanctioned by the EU, could be involved in Gazprombank's currency conversion, the commission notes.
"Agreed contracts must be respected," a spokesperson from the EU Commission told CNN Friday, adding that "97% of the relevant contracts explicitly stipulate payment in euros or dollars. Companies with such contracts should not accede to Russian demands."
"We have carefully analyzed the new decree, and we are in contact with Member State authorities and with energy companies that would be affected. The EU will continue to respond in a united manner to this latest attempt by Russia to circumvent our sanctions," the spokesperson continued.
16 min ago
EU companies may be able to purchase Russian gas in rubles without violating sanctions, the EU Commission says
From CNN's Amy Cassidy in LondonEuropean companies may be able to purchase Russian gas in rubles without violating the European Union's sanctions against Moscow, according to new advice issued by the European Commission on Friday.
The advice issued states how a process involving the Russian Central Bank would be a breach of sanctions and how continued payment in Euros/Dollars would be possible.
In a document issued to the member states and published online Thursday, the Commission states it "appears possible" that Moscow's decree demanding energy payments be made in Russian currency "does not preclude a payment process which is in line with the EU restrictive measures."
However, the commission notes the procedure is not yet clear.
A Russian decree issued in late March demands companies hold accounts in Russia's state-owned Gazprombank, which would convert payments for gas into rubles, in order to fulfill contracts, instead of trading directly with state gas giant Gazprom. The decree only applies to existing contracts.
Gazprombank has been sanctioned by the UK and the US, but not the EU.
However, the Russian Central Bank, which is sanctioned by the EU, could be involved in Gazprombank's currency conversion, the commission notes.
"Agreed contracts must be respected," a spokesperson from the EU Commission told CNN Friday, adding that "97% of the relevant contracts explicitly stipulate payment in euros or dollars. Companies with such contracts should not accede to Russian demands."
"We have carefully analyzed the new decree, and we are in contact with Member State authorities and with energy companies that would be affected. The EU will continue to respond in a united manner to this latest attempt by Russia to circumvent our sanctions," the spokesperson continued.
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