狗了一篇日本作者铃木的文章,部分内容谷歌翻译。
截止到今年三月底,处理水只有三分之一达标,其他部分需要进一步处理。
双方立场都声称有科学依据。文章也提到制成水泥是更好的解决方法。
现在的排海法,严重缺乏公共信心支持 public trust。这不单纯是科学技术问题,是典型的跨科学问题。
如何改善这种状况? 有几种选择可以帮助恢复公众对东京电力和日本政府福岛处理水计划的信任。
首先,日本政府和东京电力公司应该认识到,放射性废水的管理并不是一个纯粹的科学技术问题。 此类公共争议不能仅通过“基于科学”的对话来解决。 是的,科学对话是必要的,但这还不够。 相反,福岛的处理水是阿尔文·温伯格术语中“跨科学”的典型案例,意思是“可以向科学提出问题,但科学无法回答的问题”(温伯格强调)。 东京电力和日本政府的计划还需要以非科学的方法来解决这个问题,并提供额外的措施,包括改进决策过程以及与利益相关者进行真诚的对话(而不是说服)。
其次,为了恢复公众的信任和信心,政府应该首先停止放水,并委托一个值得利益相关者信任的独立监督机构。 国际原子能机构对东京电力计划的审查充其量是有帮助的,但这还不够,因为它只验证了东京电力提供的首次排放样本,而没有审查可能持续未来30年的整个计划。 事实上,
国际原子能机构总干事拉斐尔·马里亚诺·格罗西在该机构“综合报告”的前言中澄清说,这次审查“既不是对该(政府)政策的建议,也不是认可”。 整个决策过程的完全透明以及支撑数据和信息的披露是提高公众信任的必要条件。
第三,东京电力和日本政府应将当前的释放行动指定为“示范”计划的一部分,并宣布将在研究确认释放对海洋环境和鱼类没有重大影响后就该计划做出最终决定。 。 这意味着政府将停止排放处理过的水,并要求科学界进行此类研究。 与此同时,政府还可以继续探索其计划的技术替代方案,这可能对国内和国际利益相关者更具吸引力。 这除了为日本政府和东电提供一个保全面子的机会,为他们“暂时”停止释放提供理由,也表明他们真诚地倾听了利益相关者所表达的担忧。
日本政府和东京电力显然有能力提高公众对福岛处理水处理的信任度,但这仅要求他们超越“科学逻辑”。
Why Japan should stop its Fukushima nuclear wastewater ocean release
By
Tatsujiro Suzuki | September 22, 2023
However, according to
TEPCO’s data, as of March 31, 2023, of the total of about 1.3 million m3 of treated water, only about a third satisfied regulatory standards and the other two-thirds needed to be re-purified.
But there are scientific arguments against TEPCO’s release plan.
How to improve the situation? Several options exist that could help restore public trust in TEPCO’s and the Japanese government’s treated water plan at Fukushima.
First, the Japanese government and TEPCO should realize that the management of radioactive wastewater is not a purely scientific and technical issue. Public controversies of this sort cannot be resolved by “science-based” dialogues only. Yes, a scientific dialogue is essential, but it’s not enough. Rather, Fukushima’s treated water is a typical case of “
trans-science” using Alvin Weinberg’s term, meaning an issue where “questions which can be asked of science and yet
which cannot be answered by science” (Weinberg’s emphasis). TEPCO’s and the Japanese government’s plan also needs a non-scientific approach to the issue and provide additional measures, including an improved decision-making process and a sincere dialogue (not persuasion) with stakeholders.
Second, to restore public trust and confidence, the government should first stop the water release and task an independent oversight organization which can be trusted by stakeholders. The IAEA review of TEPCO’s plan was helpful at best, but it was not enough, as it only verifies the samples provided by TEPCO for the first discharge but does not review the entire plan which could continue for the next 30 years. In fact, IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi clarified in the foreword of the agency’s “
comprehensive report” that the review was
“neither a recommendation nor an endorsement of that (government) policy.” Complete transparency over the entire decision-making process and disclosure of supporting data and information are essential conditions to improve public trust.
Third, TEPCO and the Japanese government should designate the current release operations as part of a “demonstration” program and declare that they will make a final decision about the plan after studies confirm that the release has had no significant impacts on the ocean environment and fish. This would imply that the government stops the release of the treated water, and asks the scientific community to conduct such studies. At the same time, the government could also continue to explore technical alternatives to its plan that may be more attractive to both domestic and international stakeholders. In addition to provide a face-saving opportunity to the Japanese government and TEPCO to justify that they “temporarily” halt the release, it would show that they have sincerely listened to the concerns expressed by the stakeholders.
The Japanese government and TEPCO clearly have the ability to improve public trust in their handling of the treated water at Fukushima, but this requires them to go beyond their “scientific logic” only.
Japan’s controversial plan for Fukushima tritiated water lacks public trust. It's time to stop it and find better alternatives.
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