有几个关于房价的帖子实在太长,不易浏览,故另辟新帖。
首先,中国人所说的涨跌是指最近的价格变动. 如一个鸡蛋现在是19分,而一两个月以前是20分,我们就说鸡蛋的价格最近跌了.而如果鸡蛋的价格在一两年以前是17或18分,我们说的是比一两年以前涨了.如果你不加范围的比较,比二三十年以前肯定是涨了,谁明白你说的是什么呢. 所以,国内发明了一些"同比", “环比”等词。
其次,最近这三个月渥太华的房价报导都是量价齐跌,而且是大跌。不同的报纸(后面是不同的利益团体)用的是不同的题目,这只能忽悠那些粗心人或本地的阅读恐惧症患者。下面文章里的数字非常明显。2008年的平均房价是 $289,766,最高价是在六月份,是 $298,484。此后一路下跌,但一直比去年同期还是涨的,但是,到十二月,已经跌到$272,192, 比2007年的12月还低1.2%。短短的五六个月已跌去两万六千多,至少跌去8%,岂不是大跌。跌8%的题目竟然写成“涨6,3%”,民不可愚呀。更避而不谈量的大跌。
还有,有人说,买房用的是首付25%(杠杆),投资小,收益大。房子涨25%,收益就是100%。那房子跌了10%,收益是多少呢?当然,你太有钱了(像老赖),那是例外。有多套房子在手里的,也是例外。
Home sales slip in 2008, prices up 6.3%
Ottawa market retains underlying confidence despite national, international concerns
By Paula McCooey, The Ottawa CitizenJanuary 7, 2009
Real estate sales were down sharply in Ottawa in 2008, but prices are expected to remain strong and steady throughout 2009.
The Ottawa Real Estate board reported 467 residential units sold in December, a decrease of 18.8 per cent compared to the same month in 2007, when there were 575 units sold.
During the year, 13,733 properties were sold, a 5.7-per-cent drop from a record-setting 14,565 in 2007. However, the average price for residential properties, including condominiums, for 2008 was $289,766, an increase of 6.3 per cent over 2007.
"We are seeing the effect of consumer concerns about the national and international economy reflected in the Ottawa market, but the fact that the average sale price is fairly stable shows the underlying confidence in the local marketplace," said board president Rick Snell.
Mr. Snell added that Ottawa's resale housing market is still in "fairly good shape" compared to many areas of Canada, due to the strong job market related to the government sector.
One segment that had a notable drop in December was two-storey homes, with 209 sales, a decline of 17.4 per cent from December 2007.
Two-storey condominiums took an even bigger hit with a 21.5-per-cent drop -- or 51 sales in 2008 compared to 65 the same month the year prior.
The average price of residential properties sold in December in the Ottawa area was $272,192, a marginal drop of 1.2 per cent over December 2007.
While some consumers may be reluctant to buy and sell right now, some local brokers believe the fact Ottawa's prices have not fluctuated like those in the West will help jumpstart sales.
"Ottawa has not seen the exuberant increases over the past couple of years that other markets, such as Calgary and Edmonton, have experienced," said Pierre de Varennes, Ottawa Royal LePage broker/owner. "Ottawa's house price appreciation trend is more sustainable and shelters the city from the nervousness and negative fluctuations felt in other areas of the country."
Mr. de Varennes added that competitive interest rates will also likely "open many doors" this year for buyers and investors who may have been reluctant in 2008.
首先,中国人所说的涨跌是指最近的价格变动. 如一个鸡蛋现在是19分,而一两个月以前是20分,我们就说鸡蛋的价格最近跌了.而如果鸡蛋的价格在一两年以前是17或18分,我们说的是比一两年以前涨了.如果你不加范围的比较,比二三十年以前肯定是涨了,谁明白你说的是什么呢. 所以,国内发明了一些"同比", “环比”等词。
其次,最近这三个月渥太华的房价报导都是量价齐跌,而且是大跌。不同的报纸(后面是不同的利益团体)用的是不同的题目,这只能忽悠那些粗心人或本地的阅读恐惧症患者。下面文章里的数字非常明显。2008年的平均房价是 $289,766,最高价是在六月份,是 $298,484。此后一路下跌,但一直比去年同期还是涨的,但是,到十二月,已经跌到$272,192, 比2007年的12月还低1.2%。短短的五六个月已跌去两万六千多,至少跌去8%,岂不是大跌。跌8%的题目竟然写成“涨6,3%”,民不可愚呀。更避而不谈量的大跌。
还有,有人说,买房用的是首付25%(杠杆),投资小,收益大。房子涨25%,收益就是100%。那房子跌了10%,收益是多少呢?当然,你太有钱了(像老赖),那是例外。有多套房子在手里的,也是例外。
Home sales slip in 2008, prices up 6.3%
Ottawa market retains underlying confidence despite national, international concerns
By Paula McCooey, The Ottawa CitizenJanuary 7, 2009
Real estate sales were down sharply in Ottawa in 2008, but prices are expected to remain strong and steady throughout 2009.
The Ottawa Real Estate board reported 467 residential units sold in December, a decrease of 18.8 per cent compared to the same month in 2007, when there were 575 units sold.
During the year, 13,733 properties were sold, a 5.7-per-cent drop from a record-setting 14,565 in 2007. However, the average price for residential properties, including condominiums, for 2008 was $289,766, an increase of 6.3 per cent over 2007.
"We are seeing the effect of consumer concerns about the national and international economy reflected in the Ottawa market, but the fact that the average sale price is fairly stable shows the underlying confidence in the local marketplace," said board president Rick Snell.
Mr. Snell added that Ottawa's resale housing market is still in "fairly good shape" compared to many areas of Canada, due to the strong job market related to the government sector.
One segment that had a notable drop in December was two-storey homes, with 209 sales, a decline of 17.4 per cent from December 2007.
Two-storey condominiums took an even bigger hit with a 21.5-per-cent drop -- or 51 sales in 2008 compared to 65 the same month the year prior.
The average price of residential properties sold in December in the Ottawa area was $272,192, a marginal drop of 1.2 per cent over December 2007.
While some consumers may be reluctant to buy and sell right now, some local brokers believe the fact Ottawa's prices have not fluctuated like those in the West will help jumpstart sales.
"Ottawa has not seen the exuberant increases over the past couple of years that other markets, such as Calgary and Edmonton, have experienced," said Pierre de Varennes, Ottawa Royal LePage broker/owner. "Ottawa's house price appreciation trend is more sustainable and shelters the city from the nervousness and negative fluctuations felt in other areas of the country."
Mr. de Varennes added that competitive interest rates will also likely "open many doors" this year for buyers and investors who may have been reluctant in 2008.