2013年渥太华房市缓慢看涨

[superlover]

http://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/odpub/esub/64311/64311_2012_B01.pdf



1. Ottawa prices will grow at a slower rate – in line with the general rate of
inflation through to 2013. The pace of income growth has not kept pace with
price growth such that demand will ease for the remaining of the year and
continue moderating into 2013.

„„2.New home starts are set to increase this year by a healthy 8 per cent。

3. „MLS® sales in the Ottawa CMA will remain solid posting a marginal increase
this year followed by a slight decline in 2013. Market fundamentals will
remain supportive of sustained housing demand, driven by strengthening
local economic conditions as well as a positive migration outlook.

 

[superlover]

看来还是涨11111111111

 

[superlover]

Housing market to remain steady in 2012 and 2013, CMHC forecast says


The Canadian housing market will remain steady in 2012 and 2013 but starts will remain below the peak set in 2004, according to the first quarter 2012 edition of the Housing Market Outlook, published by Canada Mortgage & Housing Corporation (CMHC).

"With the Canadian economy set to expand at a moderate pace and mortgage rates expected to remain low, activity levels in 2012 in both new home construction and sales of existing homes will stay close to levels seen in 2011," CMHC deputy chief economist Mathieu Laberge said in a statement.

The agency said housing starts will be in the range of 164,000 to 212,700 units in 2012, with a point forecast of 190,000 units. In 2013, housing starts will be in the range of 168,900 to 219,300 units, with a point forecast of 193,800 units.

Actual housing starts totaled 193,500 in 2011, a 2.1% gain over 2010 driven by an upswing in multi-unit starts. Single family homes took the biggest hit with starts falling to 82,392 units from what CMHC described as the "post-recession recovery" of 92,554 units in 2010. Single unit starts are expects to be essentially flat at 82,700 units in 2012 before climbing 4.4% to 86,300 units in 2013.

The market will continue be driven by multi-unit starts. Although these include row house, semi-detached and townhouses, the majority of these are apartment and condominium starts. CMHC is forecasting about 107,300 multiple unit starts in 2012 and about 107,500 units in 2013.

Existing home sales will be in the range of 406,000 to 504,500 units in 2012, with a point forecast of 457,300 units. In 2013, sales via the Multiple Listing Service of the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) are expected to move up in the range of 417,600 to 517,400 units, with a point forecast of 468,200 units.

The average MLS price is forecast to be between $330,000 and $410,000 in 2012 and between $335,000 and $430,000 in 2013. CMHC's point forecast for the average MLS price is $368,900 for 2012 and $379,000 for 2013. The moderate increases in the average MLS price are consistent with the balanced market conditions that occurred in 2011, and that are expected to continue in 2012 and 2013.

For more information, a copy of the Housing Market Outlook report can be found at:

http://www.cmhc.ca/housingmarketinformation

 

[Jason Yin]

1. 渥太华的人口构成好，30%的Government Employment，加上联邦和省政府的Agent，和给政府做项目的公司，能占到总人口的60%, 在加上Hi Tech, 收入水平和稳定程度都是一些其他城市不可比拟的。

2. 渥太华的房市一直在小幅缓慢的健康成长，这一点与Toronto和Vancouver有着很大不同。

3. 长期看，只有Real Estate的价格增长才能跟得上货币增发的趋势，也就是说，跑赢通胀。这也是中国房地产的缩影，加拿大应该类似，只是稳定程度增加很多，也就是把这个过程拉长了而已。


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Jason Yin

Keller Williams Solid Rock Realty Inc

Cell：613-315-7999

Email：chengwuyin@kw.com

专业地产经纪，热忱服务，有耐心，熟悉市场，定位准确，专心为您找到称心如意的房子。

如有意，请电话联系。

 

[superlover]

Ottawa market picks up as the leaves fall

Ottawa, November 5, 2012 - As the leaves continue to fall in Ottawa, we are seeing an increase in units sold, as well as an increase in average sale price. Members of the Ottawa Real Estate Board sold 1,073 residential properties in October through the Board’s Multiple Listing Service® system, compared with 1,059 in October 2011, an increase of 1.3 per cent. The five-year average for October sales is 1,067.


“Compared to the five-year average, Ottawa is right on track, indicating that we are not experiencing a real estate downturn in Ottawa, but a slow, steady incline in units sold and average sale price,” notes Ansel Clarke, President of the Ottawa Real Estate Board. “Ottawa continues to be great place to buy and/or sell a home.”

October’s sales included 237 in the condominium property class, and 836 in the residential property class. The condominium property class includes any property, regardless of style (i.e. detached, semi-detached, apartment, stacked etc.), which is registered as a condominium, as well as properties which are co-operatives, life leases and timeshares. The residential property class includes all other residential properties.

The Ottawa market continues to be on track historically in regards to the number of sales to date as well. Since 1999 the number of sales through the MLS® System in Ottawa has ranged from a low of 11,329 to a high of 14,783. Sales for the first ten months of the year are at 12,768. Year-to-date average sale price is also up over 2011.

The average sale price of residential properties, including condominiums, sold in October in the Ottawa area was $346,492, an increase of 2.5 per cent over October 2011. The average sale price for a condominium-class property was $267,037, an increase of 3.0 per cent over October 2011. The average sale price of a residential-class property was $369,016, an increase of 1.8 per cent over October 2011. The Board cautions that average sale price information can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The average sale price is calculated based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold.

“Although the Ottawa market is characterized as stable and steady, there can be pockets of our market where fluctuations, such as larger increases in price, exist,” explains Clarke. “This is why it is important for buyers and sellers to talk to their Ottawa area REALTOR® for more information about the housing market outlook where they live, or want to live.”