群体免疫有点太邪性
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45 min ago
Around 12.5% of Moscow residents likely to have Covid-19 antibody, health officials say
From CNN’s Nathan Hodge
Around 12.5% of Moscow's residents – or around 1.5 million people – are estimated to have the antibody for coronavirus, the city's health authorities said Saturday, following screening involving more than 50,000 residents over the past two weeks.
The Russian capital on May 15 formally launched a massive free coronavirus screening program, selecting Moscow residents at random to visit one of 30 city clinics for the free antibody tests. The city has also been screening medical workers and patients for antibodies.
The results of the study pointed to a possible easing of lockdown measures in the city, according to a statement from Alexey Khripun, the head of the city's health department.
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Around 12.5% of Moscow residents likely to have Covid-19 antibody, health officials say
From CNN’s Nathan Hodge
Around 12.5% of Moscow's residents – or around 1.5 million people – are estimated to have the antibody for coronavirus, the city's health authorities said Saturday, following screening involving more than 50,000 residents over the past two weeks.
The Russian capital on May 15 formally launched a massive free coronavirus screening program, selecting Moscow residents at random to visit one of 30 city clinics for the free antibody tests. The city has also been screening medical workers and patients for antibodies.
The results of the study pointed to a possible easing of lockdown measures in the city, according to a statement from Alexey Khripun, the head of the city's health department.
Authorities in Moscow said the screening program is designed to better inform measures taken to contain the epidemic. The statement from the city’s health officials said the results were "comparable to cities that were among the first to encounter the virus," comparing Moscow’s results to those in Madrid.
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lfe634
灰體輻射
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所以说这个病死亡率低，根流感差不多
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这个17秒的视频很好玩，这位是为英国首相设计群体免疫的顾问，当首相感染后，他不是去一起感染，从而获得免疫，而是落荒而逃。现已发现他违反不许探望亲属的禁令，出城30英里，把孩子送到他父母家等多次违规，成为被围攻对象，一大笑柄。
Dominic Cummings runs from 10 Downing Street/Boris Johnson who has Coronavirus Covid-19
Dominic Cummings runs from 10 Downing Street/Boris Johnson who has Coronavirus Covid-19
- 23 March: The prime minister tells the UK public they "must stay at home". People are warned not to meet friends or family members they do not live with. Those with symptoms had already been told to self-isolate
- 27 March: Mr Cummings is seen leaving No 10 Downing Street
- 30 March: No 10 says Mr Cummings is self-isolating with coronavirus symptoms
- 31 March: Police in Durham are "made aware of reports that an individual had travelled from London to Durham and was present at an address in the city". Officers "made contact with the owners of that address". It is understood Mr Cummings travelled there between 27 and 31 March
- 12 April: Mr Cummings visited Barnard Castle, 30 miles from his parents' home in Durham, according to The Observer and Mirror newspapers. On Sunday, the prime minister said he was assured Mr Cummings behaved responsibly and legally either side of his 14-day self-isolation in Durham
- 14 April: Mr Cummings was photographed at Downing Street for the first time since 27 March
- 19 April: Five days after being in London, Mr Cummings was seen again in Durham by an unnamed witness, The Observer and Mirror reported on Sunday. Downing Street says this is "false"
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拒不封禁的瑞典，群体免疫如何了
来源: JustAsked 于 2020-05-27 04:21:36
与欧洲其他邻居不同，瑞典的新冠防疫策略始终基于超过一千万瑞典民众的自觉自律。但拯救经济与群体免疫之路，似乎愈发难走。
瑞典截至目前确诊感染人数逼近3万4千，死亡人数超过4千，死亡率远超挪威，丹麦与芬兰。甚至根据哈佛大学图表，自从5月14日以来，瑞典的一周日均新冠死亡率开始一路飙升到世界之首，直到5月20日被厄瓜多尔取代，26日每日每百万人死亡率世界第一的位置又终于被英国取代，截至发稿，英国这一数字是每日每百万人死亡率4.54，瑞典为4.51，随后是巴西的4.4，圣马力诺的4.21，美国的3.52。
瑞典首都斯德哥尔摩的街头，一切照旧，草坪上坐满了人，学校上课，一些民众继续支持瑞典健康局的群体免疫策略。瑞典首席传染病学家特格内尔继续捍卫其不封禁的决策，称“死亡数据需要等到疫情结束之后再做统计，因为人们的死亡原因需要逐一分析”。但也开始有民众游行，要求政府改变策略，挽救生命。
5月24日星期天，斯德哥尔摩30多人带来了近一千人的联署横幅，花束蜡烛，纪念截至今早总计超过4000的新冠死者，且弧线继续攀升，死者中90%都是70岁以上的老年人。一名前来游行的学生表示，“当全世界都在封禁，而瑞典选择反其道而行之，并认为自己是正确的，这是愚蠢的体现”。一名牙医也表示，“这是拒绝封禁的结果，病毒缓慢地散播来开了”。上周四，一群医生在瑞典晚报论坛上警告，“就算是健康局不重视，瑞典政府和议会也一定要开始重视起来”。更为有力的一份报告指出，斯德哥尔摩这个瑞典疫情重灾区，今年5月初民众的抗体率只有7.3%，和瑞典健康局预计的26%相比要少很多。当然，政府仍寄希望于更大的感染率，来提高抗体率，但这一策略正在招致越来越多的人道主义指责。
瑞典曾被世卫组织赞扬称作潜在的防疫模范国家，通过民众责任感来防疫，而非一刀切，让经济陷入停滞；但瑞典央行5月预计，今年国内生产总值乐观的话将会下降6.9%，明年再升高4.6%，这与2007年到2009年之间的金融危机弧线具有高度相似性。但在并不那么乐观的预测版本中，受到全球经济影响，瑞典央行认为今年该国国内生产总值将下跌10%，明年只回升1.7%，失业率将会超过10%。
来源: JustAsked 于 2020-05-27 04:21:36
与欧洲其他邻居不同，瑞典的新冠防疫策略始终基于超过一千万瑞典民众的自觉自律。但拯救经济与群体免疫之路，似乎愈发难走。
瑞典截至目前确诊感染人数逼近3万4千，死亡人数超过4千，死亡率远超挪威，丹麦与芬兰。甚至根据哈佛大学图表，自从5月14日以来，瑞典的一周日均新冠死亡率开始一路飙升到世界之首，直到5月20日被厄瓜多尔取代，26日每日每百万人死亡率世界第一的位置又终于被英国取代，截至发稿，英国这一数字是每日每百万人死亡率4.54，瑞典为4.51，随后是巴西的4.4，圣马力诺的4.21，美国的3.52。
瑞典首都斯德哥尔摩的街头，一切照旧，草坪上坐满了人，学校上课，一些民众继续支持瑞典健康局的群体免疫策略。瑞典首席传染病学家特格内尔继续捍卫其不封禁的决策，称“死亡数据需要等到疫情结束之后再做统计，因为人们的死亡原因需要逐一分析”。但也开始有民众游行，要求政府改变策略，挽救生命。
5月24日星期天，斯德哥尔摩30多人带来了近一千人的联署横幅，花束蜡烛，纪念截至今早总计超过4000的新冠死者，且弧线继续攀升，死者中90%都是70岁以上的老年人。一名前来游行的学生表示，“当全世界都在封禁，而瑞典选择反其道而行之，并认为自己是正确的，这是愚蠢的体现”。一名牙医也表示，“这是拒绝封禁的结果，病毒缓慢地散播来开了”。上周四，一群医生在瑞典晚报论坛上警告，“就算是健康局不重视，瑞典政府和议会也一定要开始重视起来”。更为有力的一份报告指出，斯德哥尔摩这个瑞典疫情重灾区，今年5月初民众的抗体率只有7.3%，和瑞典健康局预计的26%相比要少很多。当然，政府仍寄希望于更大的感染率，来提高抗体率，但这一策略正在招致越来越多的人道主义指责。
瑞典曾被世卫组织赞扬称作潜在的防疫模范国家，通过民众责任感来防疫，而非一刀切，让经济陷入停滞；但瑞典央行5月预计，今年国内生产总值乐观的话将会下降6.9%，明年再升高4.6%，这与2007年到2009年之间的金融危机弧线具有高度相似性。但在并不那么乐观的预测版本中，受到全球经济影响，瑞典央行认为今年该国国内生产总值将下跌10%，明年只回升1.7%，失业率将会超过10%。
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Matt Gurney: Sweden took a gamble on COVID. And it lost the bet badly
The country's lax policies resulted in a death rate amongst the highest in the world, only 'marginal' economic benefits and no herd immunity
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今天各个媒体都在登瑞典的这个群体免疫失败的结论。
Sweden’s hands-off approach to tackling coronavirus resulted in too many deaths, top epidemiologist says
THE GLOBE AND MAIL, SOURCE: OURWORLDINDATA.ORG (EUROPEAN CDC –
SITUATION UPDATE WORLDWIDE. DATA LAST UPDATED JUNE 3)
Debate is now intensifying within Sweden about whether the country got things right. This week, Prime Minister Stefan Lofven bowed to increasing criticism from opposition parties and agreed to appoint a commission to review the virus strategy. “We need to take an overall approach to see how it has worked at national, regional and local levels,” Mr. Lofven told reporters.
www.theglobeandmail.com
Sweden’s hands-off approach to tackling coronavirus resulted in too many deaths, top epidemiologist says
THE GLOBE AND MAIL, SOURCE: OURWORLDINDATA.ORG (EUROPEAN CDC –
SITUATION UPDATE WORLDWIDE. DATA LAST UPDATED JUNE 3)
Debate is now intensifying within Sweden about whether the country got things right. This week, Prime Minister Stefan Lofven bowed to increasing criticism from opposition parties and agreed to appoint a commission to review the virus strategy. “We need to take an overall approach to see how it has worked at national, regional and local levels,” Mr. Lofven told reporters.
Sweden’s hands-off approach to tackling coronavirus resulted in too many deaths, top epidemiologist says
The strategy, contrived by state epidemiologist Anders Tegnell, has set Sweden apart from much of Europe, which introduced lockdowns weeks ago
www.theglobeandmail.com
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Top epidemiologist admits he got Sweden's COVID-19 strategy wrong
Sweden’s top epidemiologist has admitted his strategy to fight COVID-19 resulted in too many deaths, after persuading his country to avoid a strict lockdown.
At 43 deaths per 100,000, Sweden’s mortality rate is among the highest globally and far exceeds that of neighbouring Denmark and Norway, which imposed much tougher lockdowns at the onset of the pandemic.
“If we were to encounter the same illness with the same knowledge that we have today, I think our response would land somewhere in between what Sweden did and what the rest of the world has done,” Anders Tegnell said in an interview with Swedish Radio.
