Market prediction

  • 主题发起人 主题发起人 dkwan
  • 开始时间 开始时间
Result of Aug 7:
Market was pretty directional last Friday and prediction was right.

Aug 10:
OMG. 5 strong down, and 2 slow down. All 7 indicators are not doing well.
Prediction: SPY and QQQQ will be down today
 
Result Aug 10:
Hope everyone was on FRE yesterday.
Both SPY and QQQQ were down yesterday as predicted. Althought some pull back the last 2 hours but no help the trend.

Aug 11:
6 out of 7 indicators are weak and 1 netural. Pretty good indication of a weak SPY and QQQQ today.
Prediction: SPY and QQQQ will continue down today
 
Aug 11:
As predicted, both SPY and QQQQ were down yesterday.

Aug 12:
4 out of 7 indicators are strong. the other 3 are slight bullish. As typical mixed signals.
Prediction: SPY and QQQQ slightly bullish today~
 
Result of Aug 12:
up up up. SPY and QQQQ were up yesterday as predict.
Hope people following this post make money on the trend.

Aug 13:
6 out of 7 indicators are strong and 1 netural. Very strong signal that may have gaps when market opens.
Prediction: SPY and QQQQ will gap open and steadily up!!
 
Result of Aug 13:
Hugh drop for first 30 minutes, but trend as predict, both SPY and QQQQ were up.
Stick with the plan~

Aug 14:
Today indicators: 3 strong, 3 netural and 1 down. Truly amazing, truly mixed signal. This is one of the most difficult prediction will have to made. Today, I will use other methods to accompany the mixed signal.
Prediction: QQQQ tried to break above at 40.05 3-4 times over the last 2 days. SPY tried to break above as well for the last couple of days. Plus today's mixed signal. Potentially correction will be seen today.
 
Action plan

Result of Aug 13:
Hugh drop for first 30 minutes, but trend as predict, both SPY and QQQQ were up.
Stick with the plan~

Aug 14:
Today indicators: 3 strong, 3 netural and 1 down. Truly amazing, truly mixed signal. This is one of the most difficult prediction will have to made. Today, I will use other methods to accompany the mixed signal.
Prediction: QQQQ tried to break above at 40.05 3-4 times over the last 2 days. SPY tried to break above as well for the last couple of days. Plus today's mixed signal. Potentially correction will be seen today.

Action plan for today's prediction.
 

附件

Result of Aug 14:
QQQQ and SPY went down as predicted. Hope people following this post made some money.

Aug 15:
All indicators down today except one. Minor reversal for the down pairs. Hard to predict today but still need to.
Prediction: Gap down open. Short the market AFTER at least 50% of gap closed.
 
Result Aug 15:
As predicted. Gap down open, and stay at that level for the rest of the day.
No action triggered.

Aug 16:
4 down. 2 up. 1 netural. A mixed signal again after a bearish day.
Prediction: Minor reversal from yesterday. Range bound between +/- 1%
 
Result Aug 15:
As predicted. Gap down open, and stay at that level for the rest of the day.
No action triggered.

Aug 16:
4 down. 2 up. 1 netural. A mixed signal again after a bearish day.
Prediction: Minor reversal from yesterday. Range bound between +/- 1%

Please dates as Result of Aug 17, and Aug 18. Thanks for correction QQH
 
Result Aug 18:
Nice and Slow rebound from Aug 17. Never seen negative but up at least 1%.
Hope people following this posting making some money.

Aug 19:
3 Strong down; 3 weak down; and 1 netural. Those indicates a gap down open for QQQQ and SPY.
Prediction: Gap down open on QQQQ and SPY and will continue slide.
Trade Strategy: Wait until at least 50% gap closed before SHORT market.
 
Result of Aug 19:
Gap had closed but continue bullish. Incorrect second part of the market.
When I looked at the indicators after the day is over, all indicators went up at around 10:30. Market is getting the momentum at around 11:30. It is an valuable observation.

Aug 20:
4 downs and 3 sideways. downs are not major movement so its a quiet market.
Predicting: No gap open today as indicators are quiet flat. But it still favours downward movement.
 
Result of Aug 20:
Prediction were off yesterday. Indicators back up an hour after market open.

Aug 21:
6/7 are up. 1 sideway. Indicators move quite strongly.
Prediction: Gap open and continue up.
Safe: Gap close before entry.
 
Result of Aug 21:
QQQQ and SPY moved as predicted.
1) Gap opened
2) Gap closed
3) Rebound up and stay at high level.
Hope people making some money.

Aug 24:
3 strongs. 1 slight up and 2 netural. Well. market does not have a strong direction. Since 3 strongs should enough to affect the market going up.
Prediction: QQQQ and SPY up slowly today.
 
Result of Aug 24:
Both go as high as 1% and declined after and flat at close.

Aug 25:
6 ups and 1 netural. Strong indicative direction.
Prediction: Usually for such strong day, both QQQQ and SPY are up.
Safe: Wait gap close at least 50% before entering. The best is gap closed at least 80%.
 
Limit Order placed: Long 15 41-Sept Call @0.55 Will update the result by end of day.
Investment breakeven: 0.60.
Target: 0.80 or 36%
 
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