Market prediction

  • 主题发起人 主题发起人 dkwan
  • 开始时间 开始时间
Indicators dropping heavily and sooner or later QQQQ and SPY will follow the trend. Take profit for the day if necessary.
Previous Limit Order Cancelled.
 
Result of Aug 25:
Gap open for QQQQ and SPY never closed. No trade should be placed.
Yesterday comment about indicators dropped will continue today.

Aug 26:
This morning, 6 weak + 1 netural. Quite heavy on the down side.
Prediction: QQQQ and SPY will drop today.
Safe: SHORT market AFTER 1st rebound.

Trade disclousre:
Order: LONG 39-Sept Put for 0.48.
Breakeven: 0.52 (includes roundtrip commission)
Target: 0.62

Good luck
 
Result of Aug 26:
Not a great day yesterday for the market. Market generally down, as predicted. If people SHORT the market after the 1st rally. You should be able to generate 15-20% on 39-Sept PUT.

Aug 27:
3 netutals, 1 slightly down and 3 up. Crazily mixed signal. Very hard to predict but still trying. I will use other methods addition to the indicators I had.
Prediction:
QQQQ, trying to break support level at 40.00, reverse at 40.15, .16, .10. Rebound forces are weaker each time.
Aug 24: 40.12 -> 40.73
Aug 25: 40.27 -> 40.46
Aug 26: 40.24 -> 40.57
Aug 26: 40.10 -> 40.38
QQQQ will revisit 40.00 again today, watch for break below 40.00 in the short term.

SPY, same type of analysis, but watch for 102.5 short term support level.
 
Result Aug 27:
No Gap open. Right down to 40.00, and down to 39.75. nice profit if not too greedy. SPY short term to 102 also right on prediction.
Hope people making money.

Aug 28:
4 ups and 3 neturals. Kinda nice. It's Friday, anything could happens.
Prediction: QQQQ and SPY will go up.
SAFE: If gap opens, wait for it to closed at least 50% before getting in.

Trade disclouse:
LONG 20 QQQIO at 0.54, BE: 0.58 Target: 0.68 for 18% ROI
 
Result Aug 28:
Gap closed for the day but not rebound. Even for trade.

Aug 29:
I am not available for prediction today @9am but now, market doesn't look good. Down trend mostly.

Good luck.
 
Result Aug 29 (Actuall is Aug 31):
Market down as an early predicition.

Sept 1:
All 7 indicators are down. Suggesting a gap open down. Trend pretty strong and will continue for the day.
 
Result Sept 1:
Did you got your mind shaken off by the first hour? Downward movement as predicted. Nice profit 30% of Long QQQQ Put.

Hope everyone makes some money yesterday.

Sept 2:
3 down. 3 netural. 1 sligh up. OMG. This is truely amazingly messy. I will use other method to support my decision.
Prediction:
QQQQ, netural support at 39.25-.32. Top also has 40.5 as resistance. Open slightly lower, and travel around the same level all day. probably will hit 39.00 and rebound up.
SPY, probably hit 100.00 and rebound up.

Note: Watch out market surprises at around 2pm
 
Result Sept 2:
As predicted, pretty much close range whole day and support at 39.
Not a good day yesterday.

Sept 3:
All indicators were up strong but show a slight reversal.
Prediction: Gap up at open. will close gap and rebound up for the rest of the day.
 
Result Sept 3:
Gap closed and down for a bit. Slow +ve from gap closed price.
Not a good day to trade.

Sept 4:
Show a lot of reversal signals from 4 out of 7 indicators, others are showing down.
Prediction: Will open a bit higher than yesterday close but will reverse down slowly.
 
Result Sept 4:
Although reversal signals were present but it didn't sustain.

Hope everyone had a nice weekend.

Sept 8:
6 out of 7 indicators are up, but also show a minor resistance (again, like last Friday).
Prediction: QQQQ and SPY will up today, but not as crazy as Friday.
 
Result Sept 8:
Gap closed after open and slowly back up a bit higher. Not an exciting trading day, is it?

Sept 9:
Conflicts. 4 up, 1 down and 2 neturals. the major indicators are in conflict. 1 heavily up, and 1 heavily down. Don't know what to do today. The rest are either up or netural. So, here is my
Prediction: Flat to gap down open. Move up after slowly.
 
Result Sept 9:
Very little gap down opening and shooting up intraday as predicted.
Hope people following make money.

Sept 10:
Mostly flat (5 out of 7) and the other 2 are in conflicts (1 stong up and 1 stong down). Very confusing.
Prediction:
SPY: Shows a great resistance at 104 over last 2 months. Intrady will still holds. Down today.
QQQQ: Shows a slow steady up trend over days and will got affected by overall psychology (flat for indicators and SPY resistance). Down today.
 
Result Sept 10:
Market yo-yo in the first 90 minutes or so. Indicators signal an up-trend for the rest. So, I guess I should post more if the signal is mixed in the beginning of the market.

Sept 11:
6/7 indicators are flat, indicating some big moves is coming. The rest went up but a minor indicators.
Predict: Based on the indicator, flat trading for the day but watch for unexepected news release today that turns the market
 
Result Sept 11:
Wasn't a good day to trade, market closed flat at the end as predicted.

Sept 14:
2 definite down. 1 up, 2 flat and 2 flat-to-down. Quite a mix morning.
Prediction: gap down opens and continue down trend for the day.
Safe: gap closed at least 50% before SHORTING the market.
Higher risk: LONG the market at initial markets open. Close when gap close.
 
Result Sept 14:
Not a good prediction yesterday as forgot Obama's speech affect the overall moves of the market. Higher risk makes at least 20% where safe bet see loses for about 6%.

Sept 15:
5 strong down. 1 strong up and 1 weak up.
Prediction: Will go down today.
Caution: Bernanke Speaks today at 10am. Wait before entering the market.
 
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