shemozhuben
新手上路
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- 2010-07-31
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Buffet 才每年15%还是20%?
Peter lynch 每年 29%,持续13年。
Your warning is valid. This is why I do not disclose what I traded to anyone on the web. One has to understand risk and what he is doing.
The key points are "Arbitrage", "Probability" + "Auto Correction".
I only trade once on Monday before 8:30AM, then drive out doing daily life, forget my position, sleep........ That is peace of mind. I do not want to care low or high.
I know what I am doing, and willing to take risk. Because my analysis shows even extremely bad case happens, I can still win quite percentage of gain over a long run per year, even though that may not be 100%-400% profit.
"911" does not happen everyday. That is my base assumption. If "911" happens in continuous 3 days, or nuclear button is pressed, everyone will lose big money or life, not only me
千万别跟我学, 那只是一个江湖谣传而已.
花了5年时间研究策略和实验, 7台电脑计算和模拟, 5年用坏了6台电脑.崩了12块硬盘.
I don't need convincing any others, so far I have no interest of collecting any fund/commisions from others. There is risk, before doing anything, one needs to understand risk, return and probability. I do not want to spend time on explaining and interacting with any dispute about loss or win. Small money is good, I don't want to be Millionair in short time.
It is good enough to convince myself.
在屋顶上装一个小桶, 桶下连一个管道,连进房间, 正下方就是装硬币的储蓄罐,
$1的硬币时不时就掉进屋顶上的小桶里, 哒,哒,哒,就跟闹钟的声音一样, 到了周五下午5:00PM, 罐里装的就是我的每周赢利.
还做啥餐馆,刀乐店, 睡觉就行, 工作就是周五数硬币.
Average 1% to 3% per week with 93% probability
Outliers could be -16%, up to +28%
147% for past 10 months.
Return rate this week:
Level 1: 2.06%
Level 2: 5.16%
Correction to Level 1: 0%
Total: 7.22%
I got high pressures from some interest groups, and it could be wise for me to delete this post.
THIS POST WILL BE DELETED ON 23:59PM. Nov 7, 2010
While I will keep recording weekly return somewhere like blog.
Do not ask me how I did it and what items I traded. You should see lots of chances on many trading items. Do not guess or copy.
Here are some reasons I do not disclose details:
- If it is published, many people can do such thing all by himself(click button once on early morning Monday and collect money at weekend, sounds too good to be true? ), so it could impact job security of many financial advisors, investment adversors etc.
- If people copy it and execute in a wrong way, it could incur big loss.
- I do not want to argue with anyone who copy or guess my strategy then lose money, as I said, it is not 100% winning, even if it is 9X.YZ% winning with small non-threating outliers spreaded on both sides.
- Pressures from famous ethnic group who has been very good at investment and financials. I don't want my strategy widely spreaded that could eat up lots of their profit, and such could push them change the rules or self correcting of market inefficiencies.
- Keep my ATM machine running quietly.
All I did are 100% legal following the rules defined by rule makers.
Do not follow me, it is just small money.